PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Akhmat Grozny 2–1 Rubin Kazan · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Akhmat Grozny won 2–1.

Shots
1810
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
2.891.54
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Akhmat Grozny beat Rubin Kazan 2–1. Recorded in this match (Akhmat Grozny – Rubin Kazan): shots 18–10, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 2.89–1.54, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rubin Kazan's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rubin Kazan's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.37 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.37 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots10 shotsAkhmat Grozny 18 shots, Rubin Kazan 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsAkhmat Grozny 6 shots, Rubin Kazan 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.89 xG1.54 xGAkhmat Grozny 2.89 xG, Rubin Kazan 1.54 xG
  • Possession63%37%Akhmat Grozny 63%, Rubin Kazan 37%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersAkhmat Grozny 7 corners, Rubin Kazan 4 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls20 foulsAkhmat Grozny 17 fouls, Rubin Kazan 20 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Akhmat Grozny
0Draws
3Rubin Kazan
Rubin Kazan — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League2–0
Rubin Kazan — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League2–1
Akhmat Grozny — Rubin Kazan · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akhmat Grozny favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Rubin Kazan in 3 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akhmat Grozny19 matchesRubin Kazan19 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.37 goals/match
1.74 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.47 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/101.28 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots13/1011.3 shots/match
3.54 shots/matchShots on target13/103.5 shots/match
45.7% ●Possession13/1042.1%
5.38 corners/match ●Corners13/103.9 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls13/1016.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAkhmat GroznyRubin Kazan
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headAkhmat Grozny — Rubin Kazan
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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