PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Lokomotiv Moscow 1–1 Akhmat Grozny · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lokomotiv Moscow and Akhmat Grozny drew 1–1.

Shots
1313
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
1.121.61
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lokomotiv Moscow and Akhmat Grozny drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Lokomotiv Moscow – Akhmat Grozny): shots 13–13, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 1.12–1.61, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lokomotiv Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lokomotiv Moscow's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.75 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Akhmat Grozny have a visible away split

moderate

Akhmat Grozny's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lokomotiv Moscow show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lokomotiv Moscow's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.1 shots/match ▲ShotsLokomotiv Moscow · Akhmat Grozny14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLokomotiv MoscowAkhmat GroznyBaseline
Shots16.1 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots13 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 13 shots, Akhmat Grozny 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 7 shots, Akhmat Grozny 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.12 xG1.61 xGLokomotiv Moscow 1.12 xG, Akhmat Grozny 1.61 xG
  • Possession57%43%Lokomotiv Moscow 57%, Akhmat Grozny 43%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersLokomotiv Moscow 3 corners, Akhmat Grozny 3 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls11 foulsLokomotiv Moscow 21 fouls, Akhmat Grozny 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Lokomotiv Moscow
0Draws
1Akhmat Grozny
Akhmat Grozny — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League0–5
Akhmat Grozny — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League0–2
Lokomotiv Moscow — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League2–1
Akhmat Grozny — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League0–1
Lokomotiv Moscow — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lokomotiv Moscow favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Akhmat Grozny in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lokomotiv Moscow20 matchesAkhmat Grozny20 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/200.95 goals/match
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.7 goals/match
1.7 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/141.38 xG/match
16.1 shots/match ▲Shots14/1414.4 shots/match
5.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/143.5 shots/match
47.9% ●Possession14/1445.5%
5.57 corners/match ●Corners14/145.21 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 7 Mar 2025, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLokomotiv MoscowAkhmat Grozny
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headLokomotiv Moscow — Akhmat Grozny
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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