PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

FK Krasnodar 1–1 Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FK Krasnodar and Krylya Sovetov Samara drew 1–1.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
1.341.52
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

FK Krasnodar and Krylya Sovetov Samara drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (FK Krasnodar – Krylya Sovetov Samara): shots 15–11, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.34–1.52, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FK Krasnodar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FK Krasnodar's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.84 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.84 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsFK Krasnodar 15 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsFK Krasnodar 2 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.34 xG1.52 xGFK Krasnodar 1.34 xG, Krylya Sovetov Samara 1.52 xG
  • Possession70%30%FK Krasnodar 70%, Krylya Sovetov Samara 30%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersFK Krasnodar 5 corners, Krylya Sovetov Samara 4 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls7 foulsFK Krasnodar 5 fouls, Krylya Sovetov Samara 7 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3FK Krasnodar
2Draws
0Krylya Sovetov Samara
Krylya Sovetov Samara — FK Krasnodar · Premier League1–2
Krylya Sovetov Samara — FK Krasnodar · Premier League0–0
FK Krasnodar — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League2–1
FK Krasnodar — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League2–1
Krylya Sovetov Samara — FK Krasnodar · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FK Krasnodar favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Krylya Sovetov Samara in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FK Krasnodar19 matchesKrylya Sovetov Samara19 matches
1.84 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.05 goals/match
0.68 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.58 goals/match
2.03 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/121.39 xG/match
16.9 shots/match ▲Shots16/1211.6 shots/match
5.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/124.33 shots/match
56.9% ●Possession16/1248.3%
4.88 corners/match ●Corners16/124.83 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls16/1210 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Mar 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFK KrasnodarKrylya Sovetov Samara
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headFK Krasnodar — Krylya Sovetov Samara
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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