PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Akhmat Grozny 3–3 Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League

3–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Akhmat Grozny and Krylya Sovetov Samara drew 3–3.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
68
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Akhmat Grozny and Krylya Sovetov Samara drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Akhmat Grozny – Krylya Sovetov Samara): shots 14–11, shots on target 6–8, possession 70%–30%, corners 6–2. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Krylya Sovetov Samara's recent record differs from the season

weak

Krylya Sovetov Samara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsAkhmat Grozny 14 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots8 shotsAkhmat Grozny 6 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 8 shots
  • Possession70%30%Akhmat Grozny 70%, Krylya Sovetov Samara 30%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersAkhmat Grozny 6 corners, Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls20 foulsAkhmat Grozny 7 fouls, Krylya Sovetov Samara 20 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Akhmat Grozny
2Draws
1Krylya Sovetov Samara
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League2–2
Akhmat Grozny — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League3–1
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League2–1
Akhmat Grozny — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League1–1
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akhmat Grozny favored in 5 of 9 directional metrics · Krylya Sovetov Samara in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akhmat Grozny6 matchesKrylya Sovetov Samara6 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.67 goals/match
11.5 shots/matchShots6/612 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5.5 shots/match
47.5% ●Possession6/646.2%
4.17 corners/match ●Corners6/64 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls6/615.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsAkhmat GroznyKrylya Sovetov Samara
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headAkhmat Grozny — Krylya Sovetov Samara
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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