Premier League · 2026

Lokomotiv Moscow 0–1 Dynamo Moscow · Premier League

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Dynamo Moscow won 0–1.

Shots
812
Shots on target
34
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Dynamo Moscow beat Lokomotiv Moscow 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lokomotiv Moscow – Dynamo Moscow): shots 8–12, shots on target 3–4, possession 51%–49%, corners 1–2. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Dynamo Moscow show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Dynamo Moscow's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsLokomotiv Moscow · Dynamo Moscow15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLokomotiv MoscowDynamo MoscowBaseline
Shots14 shots/match15.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against18.5 shots/match7.67 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Dynamo Moscow's recent record differs from the season

weak

Dynamo Moscow's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Dynamo Moscow have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.7%PossessionLokomotiv Moscow · Dynamo Moscow● 62.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLokomotiv MoscowDynamo MoscowBaseline
Possession51.7%62.5%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots12 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 8 shots, Dynamo Moscow 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 3 shots, Dynamo Moscow 4 shots
  • Possession51%49%Lokomotiv Moscow 51%, Dynamo Moscow 49%
  • Corners1 corner2 cornersLokomotiv Moscow 1 corner, Dynamo Moscow 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls13 foulsLokomotiv Moscow 13 fouls, Dynamo Moscow 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lokomotiv Moscow
1Draws
2Dynamo Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League1–1
Dynamo Moscow — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League3–5
Lokomotiv Moscow — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League2–1
Dynamo Moscow — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League3–1
Dynamo Moscow — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lokomotiv Moscow favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · Dynamo Moscow in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lokomotiv Moscow6 matchesDynamo Moscow6 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.17 goals/match
14 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 15.8 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5.5 shots/match
51.7%Possession6/6● 62.5%
2.83 corners/matchCorners6/6● 5.33 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls6/612.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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