PitchMath
Primera División · 2023

O'Higgins 0–1 Palestino · Primera División

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palestino won 0–1.

Shots
116
Shots on target
11
Expected goals
0.620.47
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palestino beat O'Higgins 1–0. Recorded in this match (O'Higgins – Palestino): shots 11–6, shots on target 1–1, expected goals 0.62–0.47, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

O'Higgins's recent record differs from the season

weak

O'Higgins's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.23 goals/match1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots6 shotsO'Higgins 11 shots, Palestino 6 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot1 shotO'Higgins 1 shot, Palestino 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.62 xG0.47 xGO'Higgins 0.62 xG, Palestino 0.47 xG
  • Possession54%46%O'Higgins 54%, Palestino 46%
  • Corners6 corners8 cornersO'Higgins 6 corners, Palestino 8 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls13 foulsO'Higgins 13 fouls, Palestino 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1O'Higgins
0Draws
2Palestino
Palestino — O'Higgins · Primera División0–1
O'Higgins — Palestino · Primera División1–2
Palestino — O'Higgins · Primera División1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: O'Higgins favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Palestino in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

O'Higgins30 matchesPalestino30 matches
1.23 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 1.53 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed30/301.33 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals30/301.39 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots30/3013.2 shots/match
4.23 shots/matchShots on target30/304.1 shots/match
51.8% ●Possession30/3050.1%
5.03 corners/match ●Corners30/304.77 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls30/3010.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Dec 2023, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsO'HigginsPalestino
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2023
Head-to-headO'Higgins — Palestino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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