PitchMath
Primera División · 2023

Palestino 4–0 Curicó Unido · Primera División

4–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palestino won 4–0.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.761.07
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palestino beat Curicó Unido 4–0. Recorded in this match (Palestino – Curicó Unido): shots 14–11, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.76–1.07, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Curicó Unido's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Curicó Unido's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.03 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.03 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Curicó Unido have a visible away split

moderate

Curicó Unido's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsPalestino 14 shots, Curicó Unido 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsPalestino 6 shots, Curicó Unido 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.76 xG1.07 xGPalestino 1.76 xG, Curicó Unido 1.07 xG
  • Possession56%44%Palestino 56%, Curicó Unido 44%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersPalestino 7 corners, Curicó Unido 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls8 foulsPalestino 12 fouls, Curicó Unido 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Palestino
1Draws
0Curicó Unido
Curicó Unido — Palestino · Primera División0–1
Palestino — Curicó Unido · Primera División2–1
Curicó Unido — Palestino · Primera División0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palestino favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Curicó Unido in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palestino29 matchesCuricó Unido29 matches
1.55 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/291.03 goals/match
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/291.97 goals/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goals29/291.35 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots29/2912.5 shots/match
4.21 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/293.59 shots/match
50.2% ●Possession29/2948.7%
4.66 corners/match ●Corners29/294.52 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls29/299.24 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Dec 2023, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPalestinoCuricó Unido
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2023
Head-to-headPalestino — Curicó Unido
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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