PitchMath
Primera División · 2023

Universidad de Chile 3–1 Ñublense · Primera División

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Universidad de Chile won 3–1.

Shots
2116
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
2.380.48
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Universidad de Chile beat Ñublense 3–1. Recorded in this match (Universidad de Chile – Ñublense): shots 21–16, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 2.38–0.48, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Universidad de Chile's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Universidad de Chile's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots16 shotsUniversidad de Chile 21 shots, Ñublense 16 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsUniversidad de Chile 8 shots, Ñublense 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.38 xG0.48 xGUniversidad de Chile 2.38 xG, Ñublense 0.48 xG
  • Possession43%57%Universidad de Chile 43%, Ñublense 57%
  • Corners8 corners1 cornerUniversidad de Chile 8 corners, Ñublense 1 corner
  • Fouls15 fouls11 foulsUniversidad de Chile 15 fouls, Ñublense 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Universidad de Chile
1Draws
2Ñublense
Ñublense — Universidad de Chile · Primera División1–1
Universidad de Chile — Ñublense · Primera División0–1
Ñublense — Universidad de Chile · Primera División3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad de Chile favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Ñublense in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad de Chile30 matchesÑublense30 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/301.1 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 1.3 goals/match
1.51 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/301.15 xG/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots30/3012.6 shots/match
4.83 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/304.23 shots/match
48.9%Possession30/30● 50.9%
5.1 corners/match ●Corners30/303.6 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls30/3011.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Dec 2023, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUniversidad de ChileÑublense
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2023
Head-to-headUniversidad de Chile — Ñublense
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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