PitchMath
Primera División · 2024

Ñublense 1–2 Universidad Católica · Primera División

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Universidad Católica won 1–2.

Shots
108
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.810.71
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Universidad Católica beat Ñublense 2–1. Recorded in this match (Ñublense – Universidad Católica): shots 10–8, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.81–0.71, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Universidad Católica's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Universidad Católica's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.47 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots8 shotsÑublense 10 shots, Universidad Católica 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsÑublense 4 shots, Universidad Católica 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.81 xG0.71 xGÑublense 0.81 xG, Universidad Católica 0.71 xG
  • Possession46%54%Ñublense 46%, Universidad Católica 54%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersÑublense 3 corners, Universidad Católica 4 corners
  • Fouls23 fouls10 foulsÑublense 23 fouls, Universidad Católica 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Ñublense
1Draws
2Universidad Católica
Universidad Católica — Ñublense · Primera División0–1
Universidad Católica — Ñublense · Primera División2–1
Ñublense — Universidad Católica · Primera División1–2
Universidad Católica — Ñublense · Primera División2–2
Ñublense — Universidad Católica · Primera División4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ñublense favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Universidad Católica in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ñublense17 matchesUniversidad Católica17 matches
1.59 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/171.47 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 0.94 goals/match
1.5 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/171.2 xG/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots17/1711.5 shots/match
4.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/174.47 shots/match
46.1%Possession17/17● 52.1%
5.29 corners/match ●Corners17/174.18 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Jul 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsÑublenseUniversidad Católica
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2024
Head-to-headÑublense — Universidad Católica
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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