PitchMath
Primera División · 2024

Audax Italiano 0–1 Ñublense · Primera División

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ñublense won 0–1.

Shots
912
Shots on target
14
Expected goals
0.311.7
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ñublense beat Audax Italiano 1–0. Recorded in this match (Audax Italiano – Ñublense): shots 9–12, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 0.31–1.7, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ñublense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ñublense's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.56 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.56 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots12 shotsAudax Italiano 9 shots, Ñublense 12 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot4 shotsAudax Italiano 1 shot, Ñublense 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.31 xG1.7 xGAudax Italiano 0.31 xG, Ñublense 1.7 xG
  • Possession55%45%Audax Italiano 55%, Ñublense 45%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersAudax Italiano 4 corners, Ñublense 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsAudax Italiano 10 fouls, Ñublense 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Audax Italiano
0Draws
1Ñublense
Ñublense — Audax Italiano · Primera División1–2
Audax Italiano — Ñublense · Primera División1–0
Ñublense — Audax Italiano · Primera División2–5
Ñublense — Audax Italiano · Primera División1–2
Audax Italiano — Ñublense · Primera División1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Audax Italiano favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Ñublense in 7 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Audax Italiano18 matchesÑublense18 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 1.56 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 1.28 goals/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 1.52 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots18/1812.4 shots/match
4.22 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 4.83 shots/match
47.1% ●Possession18/1846.1%
4.28 corners/matchCorners18/18● 5.22 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Aug 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAudax ItalianoÑublense
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2024
Head-to-headAudax Italiano — Ñublense
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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