PitchMath
Primera División · 2024

Deportes Copiapó 0–1 Ñublense · Primera División

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ñublense won 0–1.

Shots
816
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
0.72.85
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ñublense beat Deportes Copiapó 1–0. Recorded in this match (Deportes Copiapó – Ñublense): shots 8–16, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 0.7–2.85, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportes Copiapó's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportes Copiapó's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots16 shotsDeportes Copiapó 8 shots, Ñublense 16 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsDeportes Copiapó 1 shot, Ñublense 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.7 xG2.85 xGDeportes Copiapó 0.7 xG, Ñublense 2.85 xG
  • Possession47%53%Deportes Copiapó 47%, Ñublense 53%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersDeportes Copiapó 3 corners, Ñublense 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls14 foulsDeportes Copiapó 16 fouls, Ñublense 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Deportes Copiapó
1Draws
2Ñublense
Ñublense — Deportes Copiapó · Primera División1–0
Deportes Copiapó — Ñublense · Primera División1–1
Ñublense — Deportes Copiapó · Primera División1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportes Copiapó favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Ñublense in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportes Copiapó19 matchesÑublense19 matches
1.21 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.53 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 1.59 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 12.6 shots/match
3.84 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 4.84 shots/match
44.4%Possession19/19● 46.4%
4.21 corners/matchCorners19/19● 5.11 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Aug 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportes CopiapóÑublense
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2024
Head-to-headDeportes Copiapó — Ñublense
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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