PitchMath
Primera División · 2024

Universidad Católica 1–1 Palestino · Primera División

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Universidad Católica and Palestino drew 1–1.

Shots
918
Shots on target
14
Expected goals
0.741.5
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Universidad Católica and Palestino drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Universidad Católica – Palestino): shots 9–18, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 0.74–1.5, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Universidad Católica's recent record differs from the season

weak

Universidad Católica's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots18 shotsUniversidad Católica 9 shots, Palestino 18 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot4 shotsUniversidad Católica 1 shot, Palestino 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.74 xG1.5 xGUniversidad Católica 0.74 xG, Palestino 1.5 xG
  • Possession48%52%Universidad Católica 48%, Palestino 52%
  • Corners1 corner10 cornersUniversidad Católica 1 corner, Palestino 10 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsUniversidad Católica 13 fouls, Palestino 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Universidad Católica
0Draws
3Palestino
Palestino — Universidad Católica · Primera División0–2
Palestino — Universidad Católica · Primera División3–0
Universidad Católica — Palestino · Primera División5–2
Universidad Católica — Palestino · Primera División0–1
Palestino — Universidad Católica · Primera División3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad Católica favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Palestino in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad Católica18 matchesPalestino18 matches
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181.28 goals/match
0.94 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.06 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals18/181.21 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 12.4 shots/match
4.28 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/183.89 shots/match
51.9% ●Possession18/1850.8%
4 corners/matchCorners18/18● 4.94 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Aug 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUniversidad CatólicaPalestino
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2024
Head-to-headUniversidad Católica — Palestino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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