PitchMath
Primera División · 2024

Cobreloa 3–1 Palestino · Primera División

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cobreloa won 3–1.

Shots
1211
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
0.681.7
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cobreloa beat Palestino 3–1. Recorded in this match (Cobreloa – Palestino): shots 12–11, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 0.68–1.7, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palestino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Palestino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cobreloa have a visible home split

moderate

Cobreloa's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots11 shotsCobreloa 12 shots, Palestino 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsCobreloa 5 shots, Palestino 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.68 xG1.7 xGCobreloa 0.68 xG, Palestino 1.7 xG
  • Possession46%54%Cobreloa 46%, Palestino 54%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerCobreloa 5 corners, Palestino 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsCobreloa 10 fouls, Palestino 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cobreloa
0Draws
1Palestino
Palestino — Cobreloa · Primera División5–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cobreloa favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Palestino in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cobreloa17 matchesPalestino17 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.29 goals/match
2.29 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.06 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.2 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots17/1712.1 shots/match
4.24 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/173.88 shots/match
46.9%Possession17/17● 50.8%
4.65 corners/matchCorners17/174.65 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 30 Jul 2024, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCobreloaPalestino
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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