PitchMath
Segunda División · 2026

AD Ceuta 3–1 Real Sociedad B · Segunda División

3–1Pre-match analysis

Match at a glance

AD Ceuta won 3–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: real Sociedad B's away-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Real Sociedad B have a visible away split

weak

Real Sociedad B's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match10.5 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Sociedad B's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Sociedad B's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15 fouls/matchFoulsAD Ceuta · Real Sociedad B17.3 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAD CeutaReal Sociedad BBaseline
Fouls15 fouls/match17.3 fouls/match13.2 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

AD Ceuta4-3-3
  1. Guillermo VallejoG
  2. Toni AbadD
  3. Jose MatosD
  4. Albert CaparrósD
  5. Carlos HernándezD
  6. Mawuli MensahM
  7. Alejandro MeléndezM
  8. Gabriel OkoroM
  9. Alejandro CamachoF
  10. Kuki ZalazarF
  11. Cedric TeguiaF
Real Sociedad B4-4-2
  1. Theo FolgadoG
  2. Jon BaldaD
  3. Kazunari KitaD
  4. Iñaki RupérezD
  5. Iker RoperoD
  6. Ibai AguirreM
  7. Tomy CarbonellM
  8. Gorka GorosabelM
  9. Lander AstiazaranM
  10. Dani DíazF
  11. Gorka Carrera ZarranzF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1AD Ceuta
1Draws
0Real Sociedad B
AD Ceuta — Real Sociedad B · Segunda División0–0
Real Sociedad B — AD Ceuta · Segunda División1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AD Ceuta favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Real Sociedad B in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AD Ceuta5 matchesReal Sociedad B6 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/6▲ 1.33 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed5/6▲ 1.17 goals/match
11.8 shots/match ▲Shots5/610.5 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/6▲ 3.33 shots/match
47.2% ●Possession5/640.8%
5.2 corners/match ●Corners5/64 corners/match
15 fouls/matchFouls5/617.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness15 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Sept 2026, 12:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Segunda División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsAD CeutaReal Sociedad B
CompetitionSegunda División
Head-to-headAD Ceuta — Real Sociedad B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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