PitchMath
Segunda División · 2026

AD Ceuta 1–1 Real Valladolid · Segunda División

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

AD Ceuta and Real Valladolid drew 1–1.

Shots
1211
Shots on target
36
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

AD Ceuta and Real Valladolid drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (AD Ceuta – Real Valladolid): shots 12–11, shots on target 3–6, possession 45%–55%, corners 3–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AD Ceuta have a visible home split

weak

AD Ceuta's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

AD Ceuta's recent record differs from the season

weak

AD Ceuta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.5 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots11 shotsAD Ceuta 12 shots, Real Valladolid 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsAD Ceuta 3 shots, Real Valladolid 6 shots
  • Possession45%55%AD Ceuta 45%, Real Valladolid 55%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersAD Ceuta 3 corners, Real Valladolid 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls17 foulsAD Ceuta 14 fouls, Real Valladolid 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards5 cardsAD Ceuta 3 cards, Real Valladolid 5 cards
  • Passes316 passes394 passesAD Ceuta 316 passes, Real Valladolid 394 passes
  • Pass accuracy76.6%80.2%AD Ceuta 76.6%, Real Valladolid 80.2%
  • Shots inside box8 shots6 shotsAD Ceuta 8 shots, Real Valladolid 6 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks2 blocksAD Ceuta 5 blocks, Real Valladolid 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves2 savesAD Ceuta 5 saves, Real Valladolid 2 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides0 offsidesAD Ceuta 3 offsides, Real Valladolid 0 offsides

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

AD Ceuta4-4-2
  1. Pedro LópezG
  2. Toni AbadD
  3. Jose MatosD
  4. Carlos HernándezD
  5. Yann BodigerD
  6. Alejandro CamachoM
  7. Mawuli MensahM
  8. Edgar SevikyanM
  9. Gabriel OkoroM
  10. Kuki ZalazarF
  11. Umaru Konare TounkaraF
Real Valladolid4-2-3-1
  1. Alvaro AcevesG
  2. David TorresD
  3. Ramón MartínezD
  4. Iván AlejoD
  5. Carlos ClercD
  6. Luis ChacónM
  7. Julien PonceauM
  8. Stanko JurićM
  9. Yeray CabanzonF
  10. Robin van DuivenF
  11. Victor FernandezF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0AD Ceuta
0Draws
2Real Valladolid
AD Ceuta — Real Valladolid · Segunda División0–3
Real Valladolid — AD Ceuta · Segunda División3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AD Ceuta favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Real Valladolid in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AD Ceuta6 matchesReal Valladolid6 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/60.5 goals/match
2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.33 goals/match
11.8 shots/matchShots6/611.5 shots/match
2.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 3.5 shots/match
46.8%Possession6/6● 51.3%
4.83 corners/match ●Corners6/63.5 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls6/613 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Segunda División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsAD CeutaReal Valladolid
CompetitionSegunda División
Head-to-headAD Ceuta — Real Valladolid
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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