PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Olympique de Marseille 1–2 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 1–2.

Shots
1231
Shots on target
410
Expected goals
1.84.43
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat Olympique de Marseille 2–1. Recorded in this match (Olympique de Marseille – Paris Saint-Germain): shots 12–31, shots on target 4–10, expected goals 1.8–4.43, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris Saint-Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsOlympique de Marseille · Paris Saint-Germain21.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOlympique de MarseilleParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match21.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against17 shots/match10 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.4%PossessionOlympique de Marseille · Paris Saint-Germain● 66.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOlympique de MarseilleParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Possession56.4%66.2%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots31 shotsOlympique de Marseille 12 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 31 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots10 shotsOlympique de Marseille 4 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 10 shots
  • Expected goals1.8 xG4.43 xGOlympique de Marseille 1.8 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 4.43 xG
  • Possession39%61%Olympique de Marseille 39%, Paris Saint-Germain 61%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersOlympique de Marseille 3 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls3 foulsOlympique de Marseille 9 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 3 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards1 cardOlympique de Marseille 4 cards, Paris Saint-Germain 1 card
  • Passes403 passes628 passesOlympique de Marseille 403 passes, Paris Saint-Germain 628 passes
  • Pass accuracy81.6%89.2%Olympique de Marseille 81.6%, Paris Saint-Germain 89.2%
  • Shots inside box7 shots22 shotsOlympique de Marseille 7 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 22 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks9 blocksOlympique de Marseille 5 blocks, Paris Saint-Germain 9 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves8 saves3 savesOlympique de Marseille 8 saves, Paris Saint-Germain 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesOlympique de Marseille 1 offside, Paris Saint-Germain 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 32′Timothy WeahYellow card · Olympique de Marseille
  2. 39′Nuno MendesYellow card · Paris Saint-Germain
  3. Half-time
  4. 66′Ferran TorresGoal · Paris Saint-Germain
  5. 72′Angel GomesGoal · Olympique de Marseille
  6. 74′MarquinhosGoal · Paris Saint-Germain
  7. 77′Timothy WeahSecond yellow · Olympique de Marseille
  8. 81′Keyliane AbdallahYellow card · Olympique de Marseille
  9. 90′Angel GomesYellow card · Olympique de Marseille
  10. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 30′Olympique de Marseille · 1 player changeAngel Gomes
  • 59′Paris Saint-Germain · 1 player changeFerran Torres
  • 63′Olympique de Marseille · 1 player changeKeyliane Abdallah
  • 65′Paris Saint-Germain · 1 player changeMaghnes Akliouche
  • 79′Paris Saint-Germain · 2 player changesLucas Beraldo · Mika Godts
  • 84′Olympique de Marseille · 2 player changesFaris Moumbagna · Kelyann Bezahaf
  • 85′Olympique de Marseille · 1 player changeUlisses Garcia

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Olympique de Marseille4-2-3-1
  1. Jeffrey De LangeG
  2. Conrad Jaden Egan-RileyD
  3. Nayef AguerdD
  4. Timothy WeahD
  5. EmersonD
  6. Angel GomesM
  7. Himad AbdelliM
  8. Pierre-Emile HøjbjergM
  9. Amine GouiriF
  10. Igor PaixãoF
  11. Amine HaritF
Paris Saint-Germain4-3-3
  1. Matvey SafonovG
  2. MarquinhosD
  3. Nuno MendesD
  4. Warren Zaïre-EmeryD
  5. Willian PachoD
  6. Fabián RuizM
  7. VitinhaM
  8. João NevesM
  9. Khvicha KvaratskheliaF
  10. Ferran TorresF
  11. Ousmane DembéléF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Olympique de Marseille
0Draws
4Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 15–0
Olympique de Marseille — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–0
Paris Saint-Germain — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 13–1
Olympique de Marseille — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 10–3
Olympique de Marseille — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 10–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique de Marseille favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 11 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique de Marseille5 matchesParis Saint-Germain5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 2.2 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 21.2 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 7.2 shots/match
56.4%Possession5/5● 66.2%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/5● 6 corners/match
9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/56.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique de MarseilleParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headOlympique de Marseille — Paris Saint-Germain
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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