Stade Brestois 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Paris Saint-Germain won 0–1.
- Shots
- 16–15
- Shots on target
- 5–7
- Expected goals
- 1.24–1.16
- Possession
- 41%–59%
Full time
What the match recorded
Paris Saint-Germain beat Stade Brestois 1–0. Recorded in this match (Stade Brestois – Paris Saint-Germain): shots 16–15, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 1.24–1.16, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
The teams have contrasting possession records
weakParis Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.0 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Stade Brestois | Paris Saint-Germain | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 46.5% | 67.5% | 48.8% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
Stade Brestois show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakStade Brestois's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Stade Brestois | Paris Saint-Germain | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 21.5 shots/match | 18.8 shots/match | 13.4 shots/match |
| Shots against | 11.8 shots/match | 9.5 shots/match | 14.1 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
Both teams have elevated corners records
weakEach team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Stade Brestois | Paris Saint-Germain | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 6.5 corners/match | 5.75 corners/match | 5.13 corners/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
This match
Match statistics
As it happened
Key moments
- 5′Ferran TorresGoal · Paris Saint-Germain
- 31′Kamory DoumbiaYellow card · Stade Brestois
- Half-time
- 84′VitinhaYellow card · Paris Saint-Germain
- 87′Dro FernándezYellow card · Paris Saint-Germain
- Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
- 39′Paris Saint-Germain · 1 player changeFabián Ruiz
- 66′Paris Saint-Germain · 1 player changeMaghnes Akliouche
- 66′Stade Brestois · 1 player changeJoseph Nonge
- 66′Paris Saint-Germain · 1 player changeDésiré Doué
- 77′Paris Saint-Germain · 2 player changesDro Fernández · Mika Godts
- 78′Stade Brestois · 2 player changesDjylian N'Guessan · Lucas Tousart
- 88′Stade Brestois · 1 player changeJustin Bourgault
Who started
Lineups
Show both lineups
Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.
- Egil SelvikG
- Bradley LockoD
- Gautier LlorisD
- Raphaël Le GuenD
- Kenny LalaD
- Hugo MagnettiM
- Joris ChotardM
- Kamory DoumbiaM
- Pathé MboupF
- Mama BaldéF
- Ludovic AjorqueF
- Matvey SafonovG
- Achraf HakimiD
- MarquinhosD
- Nuno MendesD
- Willian PachoD
- Fabián RuizM
- VitinhaM
- João NevesM
- Khvicha KvaratskheliaF
- Ferran TorresF
- Ousmane DembéléF
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Stade Brestois favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 0 · 13 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
Stade Brestois / Paris Saint-Germain
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Team rankings in Ligue 1
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