PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

ADO Den Haag 1–1 SC Cambuur · Eredivisie

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

ADO Den Haag and SC Cambuur drew 1–1.

Shots
188
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
2.030.48
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

ADO Den Haag and SC Cambuur drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (ADO Den Haag – SC Cambuur): shots 18–8, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 2.03–0.48, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Cambuur's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Cambuur's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.92 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.9 fouls/matchFoulsADO Den Haag · SC Cambuur12.1 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricADO Den HaagSC CambuurBaseline
Fouls13.9 fouls/match12.1 fouls/match10.1 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots8 shotsADO Den Haag 18 shots, SC Cambuur 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsADO Den Haag 6 shots, SC Cambuur 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.03 xG0.48 xGADO Den Haag 2.03 xG, SC Cambuur 0.48 xG
  • Possession62%38%ADO Den Haag 62%, SC Cambuur 38%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersADO Den Haag 6 corners, SC Cambuur 3 corners
  • Fouls22 fouls14 foulsADO Den Haag 22 fouls, SC Cambuur 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsADO Den Haag 3 cards, SC Cambuur 2 cards
  • Passes447 passes283 passesADO Den Haag 447 passes, SC Cambuur 283 passes
  • Pass accuracy77.4%66.1%ADO Den Haag 77.4%, SC Cambuur 66.1%
  • Shots inside box14 shots6 shotsADO Den Haag 14 shots, SC Cambuur 6 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks5 blocksADO Den Haag 7 blocks, SC Cambuur 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves5 savesADO Den Haag 2 saves, SC Cambuur 5 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesADO Den Haag 1 offside, SC Cambuur 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 21′Nigel ThomasYellow card · ADO Den Haag
  2. 44′Fabian KvamGoal · SC Cambuur
  3. Half-time
  4. 71′Mathieu MaertensYellow card · SC Cambuur
  5. 74′Donát BárányGoal · ADO Den Haag
  6. 83′Matteo WaemYellow card · ADO Den Haag
  7. 90′Wiebe KooistraYellow card · SC Cambuur
  8. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 28′ADO Den Haag · 1 player changeDaryl van Mieghem
  • 58′SC Cambuur · 1 player changeWiebe Kooistra
  • 69′ADO Den Haag · 3 player changesDonát Bárány · Jesse Bal · Othniël Raterink
  • 73′SC Cambuur · 3 player changesSkye Vink · Iwan Henstra · Jamal Amofa
  • 81′ADO Den Haag · 1 player changeSekou Sylla
  • 83′SC Cambuur · 1 player changeEthan Apkakou

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

ADO Den Haag
  1. Kilian NikièmaG
  2. Pascal MulderD
  3. Matteo WaemD
  4. Jonas Jensen-AbbewD
  5. Milan HokkeD
  6. Evan RottierM
  7. Juho KiloM
  8. Matěj ŠínM
  9. Jalen HawkinsF
  10. Nigel ThomasF
  11. Yannick EduardoF
SC Cambuur
  1. Thijs JansenG
  2. Devid BouahD
  3. Ismaël BaoufD
  4. Billy van DuijlD
  5. Morgan CostarelliD
  6. Nicky SourenM
  7. Rafik El ArguiouiM
  8. Mathieu MaertensM
  9. Sami BouhoudaneF
  10. Ilyes HamacheF
  11. Fabian KvamF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0ADO Den Haag
0Draws
2SC Cambuur
ADO Den Haag — SC Cambuur · Eerste Divisie1–2
SC Cambuur — ADO Den Haag · Eerste Divisie2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: ADO Den Haag favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · SC Cambuur in 7 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

ADO Den Haag7 matchesSC Cambuur7 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.43 goals/match
2.43 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72.71 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.35 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots7/711.9 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 4.29 shots/match
49.3% ●Possession7/746.3%
4 corners/match ●Corners7/73.71 corners/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls7/712.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsADO Den HaagSC Cambuur
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headADO Den Haag — SC Cambuur
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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