PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

SC Cambuur 3–0 NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie

3–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

SC Cambuur won 3–0.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
3.210.93
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Cambuur beat NEC Nijmegen 3–0. Recorded in this match (SC Cambuur – NEC Nijmegen): shots 16–10, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 3.21–0.93, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for NEC Nijmegen.

6.27 days ▲Rest daysSC Cambuur · NEC Nijmegen4.09 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSC CambuurNEC NijmegenBaseline
Rest days6.27 days4.09 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

SC Cambuur's recent record differs from the season

weak

SC Cambuur's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.92 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SC Cambuur show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SC Cambuur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Cambuur · NEC Nijmegen14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC CambuurNEC NijmegenBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against15.7 shots/match11.2 shots/match15.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsSC Cambuur 16 shots, NEC Nijmegen 10 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotSC Cambuur 8 shots, NEC Nijmegen 1 shot
  • Expected goals3.21 xG0.93 xGSC Cambuur 3.21 xG, NEC Nijmegen 0.93 xG
  • Possession37%63%SC Cambuur 37%, NEC Nijmegen 63%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersSC Cambuur 4 corners, NEC Nijmegen 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls18 foulsSC Cambuur 16 fouls, NEC Nijmegen 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsSC Cambuur 2 cards, NEC Nijmegen 4 cards
  • Passes257 passes428 passesSC Cambuur 257 passes, NEC Nijmegen 428 passes
  • Pass accuracy66.9%78.5%SC Cambuur 66.9%, NEC Nijmegen 78.5%
  • Shots inside box11 shots5 shotsSC Cambuur 11 shots, NEC Nijmegen 5 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks2 blocksSC Cambuur 3 blocks, NEC Nijmegen 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save5 savesSC Cambuur 1 save, NEC Nijmegen 5 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesSC Cambuur 2 offsides, NEC Nijmegen 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 21′Ilyes HamacheGoal · SC Cambuur
  2. 32′Devid BouahYellow card · SC Cambuur
  3. 35′Tobias StormYellow card · NEC Nijmegen
  4. 37′Philippe SandlerYellow card · NEC Nijmegen
  5. Half-time
  6. 54′Ilyes HamacheGoal · SC Cambuur
  7. 87′Noé LebretonYellow card · NEC Nijmegen
  8. 90′Iwan HenstraGoal · SC Cambuur
  9. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′NEC Nijmegen · 1 player changeNikolas Polster
  • 58′NEC Nijmegen · 1 player changeJamiro Monteiro
  • 59′NEC Nijmegen · 2 player changesBryan Linssen · Jamiro Monteiro
  • 64′SC Cambuur · 1 player changeJamal Amofa
  • 71′SC Cambuur · 1 player changeSami Bouhoudane
  • 72′SC Cambuur · 1 player changeIwan Henstra
  • 74′NEC Nijmegen · 1 player changeKevin Kers
  • 84′SC Cambuur · 2 player changesWiebe Kooistra · Skye Vink

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

SC Cambuur
  1. Thijs JansenG
  2. Devid BouahD
  3. Ismaël BaoufD
  4. Billy van DuijlD
  5. Morgan CostarelliD
  6. Nicky SourenM
  7. Rafik El ArguiouiM
  8. Mathieu MaertensM
  9. Ilyes HamacheF
  10. Nicolas BinderF
  11. Fabian KvamF
NEC Nijmegen
  1. Gonzalo CrettazG
  2. Philippe SandlerD
  3. Adam TahauiD
  4. Tobias StormD
  5. Almugera KabarD
  6. Clement BischoffD
  7. Darko NejašmićM
  8. Dennis GeigerM
  9. Tjaronn CheryF
  10. Kaj SierhuisF
  11. Noé LebretonF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SC Cambuur
1Draws
2NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen — SC Cambuur · Eredivisie0–0
SC Cambuur — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie0–1
SC Cambuur — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie1–2
NEC Nijmegen — SC Cambuur · Eredivisie2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Cambuur favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · NEC Nijmegen in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Cambuur6 matchesNEC Nijmegen6 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.83 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 2 goals/match
1.5 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.69 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 14.8 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/64 shots/match
47.7%Possession6/6● 63.7%
3.83 corners/matchCorners6/6● 5 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls6/611.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC CambuurNEC Nijmegen
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headSC Cambuur — NEC Nijmegen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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