PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Manchester City 5–3 Sunderland · Premier League

5–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Manchester City won 5–3.

Shots
1617
Shots on target
69
Expected goals
2.724.25
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City beat Sunderland 5–3. Recorded in this match (Manchester City – Sunderland): shots 16–17, shots on target 6–9, expected goals 2.72–4.25, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

63.2% ●PossessionManchester City · Sunderland48.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricManchester CitySunderlandBaseline
Possession63.2%48.6%47.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots17 shotsManchester City 16 shots, Sunderland 17 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots9 shotsManchester City 6 shots, Sunderland 9 shots
  • Expected goals2.72 xG4.25 xGManchester City 2.72 xG, Sunderland 4.25 xG
  • Possession55%45%Manchester City 55%, Sunderland 45%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersManchester City 6 corners, Sunderland 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsManchester City 11 fouls, Sunderland 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardManchester City 0 cards, Sunderland 1 card
  • Passes470 passes385 passesManchester City 470 passes, Sunderland 385 passes
  • Pass accuracy86%81.8%Manchester City 86%, Sunderland 81.8%
  • Shots inside box12 shots14 shotsManchester City 12 shots, Sunderland 14 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks3 blocksManchester City 5 blocks, Sunderland 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves1 saveManchester City 4 saves, Sunderland 1 save

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 8′Dayann MethalieYellow card · Sunderland
  2. 9′Enzo FernándezGoal · Manchester City
  3. 12′Brian BrobbeyGoal · Sunderland
  4. 29′Rayan CherkiGoal · Manchester City
  5. 33′Brian BrobbeyGoal · Sunderland
  6. 43′Antoine SemenyoGoal · Manchester City
  7. Half-time
  8. 57′Antoine SemenyoGoal · Manchester City
  9. 59′Brian BrobbeyGoal · Sunderland
  10. 81′Erling HaalandGoal · Manchester City
  11. Full time
Player changes · 5grouped by team and minute
  • 60′Sunderland · 1 player changeMalick Fofana
  • 68′Sunderland · 1 player changeWilson Isidor
  • 75′Manchester City · 1 player changeJérémy Doku
  • 79′Sunderland · 1 player changeTrai Hume
  • 85′Manchester City · 1 player changeNico O'Reilly

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Manchester City4-2-3-1
  1. Gianluigi DonnarummaG
  2. Rúben DiasD
  3. Marc GuéhiD
  4. Joško GvardiolD
  5. Matheus NunesD
  6. Elliot AndersonM
  7. Rayan CherkiM
  8. Enzo FernándezM
  9. Iliman NdiayeF
  10. Erling HaalandF
  11. Antoine SemenyoF
Sunderland4-2-3-1
  1. Robin RoefsG
  2. Kevin DansoD
  3. Daniel BallardD
  4. Nordi MukieleD
  5. Trai HumeD
  6. Noah SadikiM
  7. Enzo Le FéeM
  8. Granit XhakaM
  9. Brian BrobbeyF
  10. Nilson AnguloF
  11. Thomas MeunierF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Manchester City
1Draws
0Sunderland
Sunderland — Manchester City · Premier League0–0
Manchester City — Sunderland · Premier League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester City favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Sunderland in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester City5 matchesSunderland5 matches
2.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.87 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 2.07 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots5/513.2 shots/match
5.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/55 shots/match
63.2% ●Possession5/548.6%
6.2 corners/match ●Corners5/54 corners/match
9.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsManchester CitySunderland
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headManchester City — Sunderland
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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