PitchMath
League One · 2026

AFC Wimbledon 1–0 Wigan Athletic · League One

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

AFC Wimbledon won 1–0.

Shots
1316
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.72.97
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

AFC Wimbledon beat Wigan Athletic 1–0. Recorded in this match (AFC Wimbledon – Wigan Athletic): shots 13–16, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.7–2.97, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wigan Athletic show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Wigan Athletic's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAFC Wimbledon · Wigan Athletic16.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAFC WimbledonWigan AthleticBaseline
Shots9 shots/match16.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match13 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Wigan Athletic have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.7%PossessionAFC Wimbledon · Wigan Athletic● 61.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAFC WimbledonWigan AthleticBaseline
Possession46.7%61.3%46.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots16 shotsAFC Wimbledon 13 shots, Wigan Athletic 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsAFC Wimbledon 2 shots, Wigan Athletic 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.7 xG2.97 xGAFC Wimbledon 0.7 xG, Wigan Athletic 2.97 xG
  • Possession43%57%AFC Wimbledon 43%, Wigan Athletic 57%
  • Corners5 corners9 cornersAFC Wimbledon 5 corners, Wigan Athletic 9 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsAFC Wimbledon 14 fouls, Wigan Athletic 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsAFC Wimbledon 4 cards, Wigan Athletic 4 cards
  • Passes312 passes412 passesAFC Wimbledon 312 passes, Wigan Athletic 412 passes
  • Pass accuracy67.6%78.4%AFC Wimbledon 67.6%, Wigan Athletic 78.4%
  • Shots inside box7 shots14 shotsAFC Wimbledon 7 shots, Wigan Athletic 14 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks2 blocksAFC Wimbledon 4 blocks, Wigan Athletic 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves1 saveAFC Wimbledon 5 saves, Wigan Athletic 1 save
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideAFC Wimbledon 1 offside, Wigan Athletic 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 21′Archie HarrisYellow card · Wigan Athletic
  2. 25′Jon MellishYellow card · Wigan Athletic
  3. 45′Jensen WeirYellow card · Wigan Athletic
  4. Half-time
  5. 65′James CarragherYellow card · Wigan Athletic
  6. 73′Steven SessegnonYellow card · AFC Wimbledon
  7. 75′Ollie HarrisonYellow card · AFC Wimbledon
  8. 77′Alistair SmithYellow card · AFC Wimbledon
  9. 88′Myles HippolyteGoal · AFC Wimbledon
  10. 90′Steve SeddonYellow card · AFC Wimbledon
  11. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 12′Wigan Athletic · 1 player changeArchie Harris
  • 67′AFC Wimbledon · 2 player changesJunior Nkeng · Ollie Harrison
  • 68′AFC Wimbledon · 2 player changesDonnell McNeilly · Steven Sessegnon
  • 74′Wigan Athletic · 1 player changeLuke Harris
  • 84′Wigan Athletic · 2 player changesJeremiah Mullen · K'Marni Miller
  • 86′AFC Wimbledon · 1 player changeAndy Yiadom

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1AFC Wimbledon
0Draws
3Wigan Athletic
Wigan Athletic — AFC Wimbledon · League One0–1
AFC Wimbledon — Wigan Athletic · League One1–2
Wigan Athletic — AFC Wimbledon · League One1–0
AFC Wimbledon — Wigan Athletic · League One0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AFC Wimbledon favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Wigan Athletic in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AFC Wimbledon3 matchesWigan Athletic3 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 0.67 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match
0.5 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 2.35 xG/match
9 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 16.7 shots/match
1.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 3.67 shots/match
46.7%Possession3/3● 61.3%
5.67 corners/matchCorners3/3● 6 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls3/310 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAFC WimbledonWigan Athletic
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headAFC Wimbledon — Wigan Athletic
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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