VfL Wolfsburg 5–1 Darmstadt 98 · 2. Bundesliga
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
VfL Wolfsburg won 5–1.
- Shots
- 19–12
- Shots on target
- 6–3
- Expected goals
- 1.72–1.23
- Possession
- 64%–36%
Full time
What the match recorded
VfL Wolfsburg beat Darmstadt 98 5–1. Recorded in this match (VfL Wolfsburg – Darmstadt 98): shots 19–12, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.72–1.23, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Darmstadt 98's recent record differs from the season
moderateDarmstadt 98's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.6 goals/match | 0.83 goals/match | 1.55 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateVfL Wolfsburg have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.0 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | VfL Wolfsburg | Darmstadt 98 | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 57.3% | 40.3% | 50% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
VfL Wolfsburg show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateVfL Wolfsburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | VfL Wolfsburg | Darmstadt 98 | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 18.5 shots/match | 11.3 shots/match | 15.5 shots/match |
| Shots against | 15 shots/match | 17.5 shots/match | 15.3 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
This match
Match statistics
As it happened
Key moments
- 14′Alexander BernhardssonGoal · VfL Wolfsburg
- 29′Milan SmitGoal · Darmstadt 98
- 38′Raoul PetrettaYellow card · Darmstadt 98
- 40′Robert GlatzelGoal · VfL Wolfsburg
- 42′Muhammed DamarYellow card · VfL Wolfsburg
- Half-time
- 51′Nicolas VerkooijenYellow card · Darmstadt 98
- 61′Alexander BernhardssonGoal · VfL Wolfsburg
- 67′Muhammed DamarGoal · VfL Wolfsburg
- 70′Saël KumbediYellow card · VfL Wolfsburg
- 79′Robert GlatzelGoal · VfL Wolfsburg
- 90′Pharell HenselYellow card · VfL Wolfsburg
- Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
- 68′Darmstadt 98 · 2 player changesLance Duijvestijn · William Mikelbrencis
- 76′VfL Wolfsburg · 2 player changesMaximilian Arnold · Bence Dárdai
- 83′VfL Wolfsburg · 1 player changeKilian Fischer
- 84′Darmstadt 98 · 2 player changesIbrahim El Kadiri · Marco Richter
- 84′VfL Wolfsburg · 1 player changeAlessio Besio
- 86′VfL Wolfsburg · 1 player changePharell Hensel
Who started
Lineups
Show both lineups
Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.
- Jakub ZielińskiG
- Hauke WahlD
- Joakim MæhleD
- Saël KumbediD
- CleitonD
- Vinícius SouzaM
- Muhammed DamarM
- Yannick GerhardtM
- Fabian ReeseF
- Alexander BernhardssonF
- Robert GlatzelF
- Marcel SchuhenG
- Patric PfeifferD
- Raoul PetrettaD
- Aleksandar VukotićD
- Christopher LannertD
- Noah WeißhauptM
- Nicolas VerkooijenM
- Kai KlefischM
- Carlo SickingerM
- Lee Ho-jaeF
- Milan SmitF
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: VfL Wolfsburg favored in 13 of 13 directional metrics · Darmstadt 98 in 0
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches
VfL Wolfsburg / Darmstadt 98
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga
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