Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League · 2026Al-Nassr 3–0 Al-Diraiyah Club · Saudi Pro League
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Al-Nassr won 3–0.
- Shots
- 17–10
- Shots on target
- 10–1
- Expected goals
- 2.45–0.64
- Possession
- 52%–48%
Full time
What the match recorded
Al-Nassr beat Al-Diraiyah Club 3–0. Recorded in this match (Al-Nassr – Al-Diraiyah Club): shots 17–10, shots on target 10–1, expected goals 2.45–0.64, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Both teams have elevated corners records
moderateEach team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al-Diraiyah Club | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 8.5 corners/match | 5.63 corners/match | 4.43 corners/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
Al-Nassr's recent record differs from the season
weakAl-Nassr's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.8 goals/match | 2.38 goals/match | 1.07 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Al-Diraiyah Club show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakAl-Diraiyah Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al-Diraiyah Club | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 16.4 shots/match | 12.4 shots/match | 12.6 shots/match |
| Shots against | 9.25 shots/match | 11.6 shots/match | 12.7 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
This match
Match statistics
As it happened
Key moments
- 23′Cristiano RonaldoGoal · Al-Nassr
- 28′Chancel MbembaYellow card · Al-Diraiyah Club
- 35′Samú CostaGoal · Al-Nassr
- 45′Abdulaziz Al-FarajYellow card · Al-Diraiyah Club
- Half-time
- 77′Kingsley ComanGoal · Al-Nassr
- Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
- 68′Al-Diraiyah Club · 2 player changesMohammed Dheban · Lovro Chelfi
- 78′Al-Nassr · 3 player changesAyman Yahya · Abdullah Al-Hamdan · Sami Al Naji
- 83′Al-Diraiyah Club · 1 player changeTaher Wadi
- 84′Al-Nassr · 1 player changeSaad Al-Nasser
- 84′Al-Diraiyah Club · 2 player changesMeshari Fahad Al-Nemer · Husain Al-Qahtani
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Al-Nassr favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Diraiyah Club in 0 · 2 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches
Al-Nassr / Al-Diraiyah Club
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
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