Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Kholood vs Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.712.29
Expected goals
1.592.19
Shots
11.314
Possession
47.7%56.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: al-Kholood's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: al-Qadsiah have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Al-Qadsiah have a visible away split

weak

Al-Qadsiah's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match14 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Al-Kholood show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Al-Kholood's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAl-Kholood · Al-Qadsiah14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl-KholoodAl-QadsiahBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match14 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against11.7 shots/match8.86 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Al-Qadsiah's recent record differs from the season

weak

Al-Qadsiah's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match14 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Kholood favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Qadsiah in 10 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Kholood7 matchesAl-Qadsiah7 matches
1.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 2.29 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.59 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 2.19 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 14 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 5.86 shots/match
47.7%Possession7/7● 56.7%
4.43 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6.29 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls7/712.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Al-Kholood
0Draws
4Al-Qadsiah
Al-Kholood — Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League1–4
Al-Qadsiah — Al-Kholood · Saudi Pro League4–0
Al-Qadsiah — Al-Kholood · Saudi Pro League4–1
Al-Kholood — Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 13:50 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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