Málaga 1–3 Villarreal · La Liga
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Villarreal won 1–3.
- Shots
- 5–16
- Shots on target
- 1–7
- Expected goals
- 0.63–3.33
- Possession
- 37%–63%
Full time
What the match recorded
Villarreal beat Málaga 3–1. Recorded in this match (Málaga – Villarreal): shots 5–16, shots on target 1–7, expected goals 0.63–3.33, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
weakA compressed recent schedule is recorded for Villarreal.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | Málaga | Villarreal | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 4.31 days | 3.02 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 2 matches | 2 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
Málaga's recent record differs from the season
weakMálaga's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.6 goals/match | 0.5 goals/match | 1.45 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Villarreal show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateVillarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Málaga | Villarreal | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 9.83 shots/match | 15.2 shots/match | 11.9 shots/match |
| Shots against | 14 shots/match | 14 shots/match | 13.4 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
This match
Match statistics
As it happened
Key moments
- 12′Carlos DotorGoal · Málaga
- 34′Jose SalinasYellow card · Málaga
- 40′Alberto MoleiroGoal · Villarreal
- 42′Ilias AkhomachYellow card · Villarreal
- 45′Pape GueyeGoal · Villarreal
- Half-time
- 68′David LarrubiaYellow card · Málaga
- 70′Einar GalileaYellow card · Málaga
- 79′Ramón EnríquezYellow card · Málaga
- 82′Carlos RomeroGoal · Villarreal
- 85′Alfonso HerreroYellow card · Málaga
- 86′Pape GueyePenalty goal · Villarreal
- Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
- 37′Villarreal · 1 player changePape Gueye
- 46′Málaga · 2 player changesDani Lorenzo · Rafa Garrido
- 61′Málaga · 2 player changesJoaquín Muñoz · Adrián Niño
- 63′Villarreal · 2 player changesCarlos Romero · Georges Mikautadze
- 75′Málaga · 1 player changeRamón Enríquez
- 80′Villarreal · 2 player changesSantiago Mouriño · Carlos Maciá
Who started
Lineups
Show both lineups
Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.
- Alfonso HerreroG
- Carlos PugaD
- Einar GalileaD
- Ángel RecioD
- Rafa GarridoD
- Carlos DotorM
- David LarrubiaM
- Pablo MartínezM
- Juan CruzM
- ChupeteF
- Dani LorenzoF
- Péter GulácsiG
- Logan CostaD
- Alexander FreemanD
- Renato VeigaD
- Sergi CardonaD
- Alberto MoleiroM
- Pape GueyeM
- Nicolas PépéM
- Nathan-Dylan SalibaM
- Tani OluwaseyiF
- Ayoze PérezF
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Málaga favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Villarreal in 9 · 3 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches
Málaga / Villarreal
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Team rankings in La Liga
Make a graphic from this match
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