La Liga · 2026

Málaga 1–3 Villarreal · La Liga

Málaga

LDLDD
1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Villarreal won 1–3.

Shots
516
Shots on target
17
Expected goals
0.633.33
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Villarreal beat Málaga 3–1. Recorded in this match (Málaga – Villarreal): shots 5–16, shots on target 1–7, expected goals 0.63–3.33, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Villarreal.

4.31 days ▲Rest daysMálaga · Villarreal3.02 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMálagaVillarrealBaseline
Rest days4.31 days3.02 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Málaga's recent record differs from the season

weak

Málaga's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.5 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Villarreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.83 shots/match ▲ShotsMálaga · Villarreal15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMálagaVillarrealBaseline
Shots9.83 shots/match15.2 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match14 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots16 shotsMálaga 5 shots, Villarreal 16 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot7 shotsMálaga 1 shot, Villarreal 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.63 xG3.33 xGMálaga 0.63 xG, Villarreal 3.33 xG
  • Possession37%63%Málaga 37%, Villarreal 63%
  • Corners4 corners8 cornersMálaga 4 corners, Villarreal 8 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls10 foulsMálaga 17 fouls, Villarreal 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards1 cardMálaga 5 cards, Villarreal 1 card
  • Passes347 passes600 passesMálaga 347 passes, Villarreal 600 passes
  • Pass accuracy81%90%Málaga 81%, Villarreal 90%
  • Shots inside box4 shots12 shotsMálaga 4 shots, Villarreal 12 shots
  • Blocked shots0 blocks4 blocksMálaga 0 blocks, Villarreal 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves0 savesMálaga 3 saves, Villarreal 0 saves
  • Offsides1 offside3 offsidesMálaga 1 offside, Villarreal 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 12′Carlos DotorGoal · Málaga
  2. 34′Jose SalinasYellow card · Málaga
  3. 40′Alberto MoleiroGoal · Villarreal
  4. 42′Ilias AkhomachYellow card · Villarreal
  5. 45′Pape GueyeGoal · Villarreal
  6. Half-time
  7. 68′David LarrubiaYellow card · Málaga
  8. 70′Einar GalileaYellow card · Málaga
  9. 79′Ramón EnríquezYellow card · Málaga
  10. 82′Carlos RomeroGoal · Villarreal
  11. 85′Alfonso HerreroYellow card · Málaga
  12. 86′Pape GueyePenalty goal · Villarreal
  13. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 37′Villarreal · 1 player changePape Gueye
  • 46′Málaga · 2 player changesDani Lorenzo · Rafa Garrido
  • 61′Málaga · 2 player changesJoaquín Muñoz · Adrián Niño
  • 63′Villarreal · 2 player changesCarlos Romero · Georges Mikautadze
  • 75′Málaga · 1 player changeRamón Enríquez
  • 80′Villarreal · 2 player changesSantiago Mouriño · Carlos Maciá

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Málaga4-4-2
  1. Alfonso HerreroG
  2. Carlos PugaD
  3. Einar GalileaD
  4. Ángel RecioD
  5. Rafa GarridoD
  6. Carlos DotorM
  7. David LarrubiaM
  8. Pablo MartínezM
  9. Juan CruzM
  10. ChupeteF
  11. Dani LorenzoF
Villarreal4-4-2
  1. Péter GulácsiG
  2. Logan CostaD
  3. Alexander FreemanD
  4. Renato VeigaD
  5. Sergi CardonaD
  6. Alberto MoleiroM
  7. Pape GueyeM
  8. Nicolas PépéM
  9. Nathan-Dylan SalibaM
  10. Tani OluwaseyiF
  11. Ayoze PérezF

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Málaga favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Villarreal in 9 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Málaga6 matchesVillarreal6 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.83 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 2.01 xG/match
9.83 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 15.2 shots/match
1.67 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 6.5 shots/match
49.8%Possession6/6● 61.7%
4.83 corners/matchCorners6/6● 7.33 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls6/611 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 17 Sept 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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