UEFA Champions League · 2023

Paris Saint-Germain 3–0 Milan · UEFA Champions League

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 3–0.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
1.330.58
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat Milan 3–0. Recorded in this match (Paris Saint-Germain – Milan): shots 13–11, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 1.33–0.58, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

67.7% ●PossessionParis Saint-Germain · Milan44.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainMilanBaseline
Possession67.7%44.7%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

8.33 corners/match ●CornersParis Saint-Germain · Milan6.67 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainMilanBaseline
Corners8.33 corners/match6.67 corners/match5.5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Milan show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Milan's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsParis Saint-Germain · Milan16.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainMilanBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match16.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsParis Saint-Germain 13 shots, Milan 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsParis Saint-Germain 7 shots, Milan 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.33 xG0.58 xGParis Saint-Germain 1.33 xG, Milan 0.58 xG
  • Possession62%38%Paris Saint-Germain 62%, Milan 38%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersParis Saint-Germain 7 corners, Milan 7 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls11 foulsParis Saint-Germain 17 fouls, Milan 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Manuel Ugarte · Paris Saint-Germain · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Giroud · Milan · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 53′ · 0.03 xG · on targetChristian Pulišić · Milan · 63′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRafael Leão · Milan · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Giroud · Milan · 81′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFikayo Tomori · Milan · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 32′ · 0.05 xG · goalOlivier Giroud · Milan · 70′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 22′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRafael Leão · Milan · 12′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Pobega · Milan · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 78′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRandal Kolo Muani · Paris Saint-Germain · 43′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Giroud · Milan · 50′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 58′ · 0.20 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 82′ · 0.20 xG · on targetKang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 89′ · 0.20 xG · goalRandal Kolo Muani · Paris Saint-Germain · 53′ · 0.36 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris Saint-Germain: 13 shots, 7 on target, 1.33 xG. Milan: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Kylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 32′Randal Kolo Muani · Paris Saint-Germain · 53′Kang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint-Germain 1.33 xG · Milan 0.61 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Milan in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain3 matchesMilan3 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/30 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 1 goal/match
1.57 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.41 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 16.7 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 5 shots/match
67.7% ●Possession3/344.7%
8.33 corners/match ●Corners3/36.67 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/314 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 25 Oct 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

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