PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Milan 0–1 Juventus · Serie A

Milan

LWWWW
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventus won 0–1.

Shots
714
Shots on target
14
Expected goals
0.311.43
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventus beat Milan 1–0. Recorded in this match (Milan – Juventus): shots 7–14, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 0.31–1.43, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventus's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots14 shotsMilan 7 shots, Juventus 14 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot4 shotsMilan 1 shot, Juventus 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.31 xG1.43 xGMilan 0.31 xG, Juventus 1.43 xG
  • Possession52%48%Milan 52%, Juventus 48%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersMilan 6 corners, Juventus 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls16 foulsMilan 12 fouls, Juventus 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Filip Kostić · Juventus · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Rabiot · Juventus · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Florenzi · Milan · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavide Calabria · Milan · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Rabiot · Juventus · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFederico Gatti · Juventus · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 86′ · 0.03 xG · on targetChristian Pulišić · Milan · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTimothy Weah · Juventus · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArkadiusz Milik · Juventus · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Giroud · Milan · 14′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAndrea Cambiaso · Juventus · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 73′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedManuel Locatelli · Juventus · 78′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedWeston McKennie · Juventus · 67′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Juventus · 45′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 90′ · 0.42 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Milan: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.31 xG. Juventus: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.41 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Milan 0.31 xG · Juventus 1.41 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Milan
2Draws
0Juventus
Juventus — Milan · Serie A0–1
Milan — Juventus · Serie A2–0
Milan — Juventus · Serie A0–0
Juventus — Milan · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Milan favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Juventus in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Milan9 matchesJuventus9 matches
1.78 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91.67 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.54 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 13.8 shots/match
4.44 shots/matchShots on target9/94.33 shots/match
56.1% ●Possession9/950%
3.89 corners/matchCorners9/9● 4.78 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls9/911.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Oct 2023, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMilanJuventus
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headMilan — Juventus
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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