PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Atalanta 2–0 Genoa · Serie A

2–0Historical match

Genoa

DLWDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta won 2–0.

Shots
1315
Shots on target
84
Expected goals
1.330.99
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta beat Genoa 2–0. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – Genoa): shots 13–15, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 1.33–0.99, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Genoa show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Genoa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAtalanta · Genoa7.78 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaGenoaBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match7.78 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Genoa's recent record differs from the season

weak

Genoa's last-five shots average is above their season average.

9.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season7.78 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.2 shots/match7.78 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Atalanta have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.8% ●PossessionAtalanta · Genoa36.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaGenoaBaseline
Possession51.8%36.8%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots15 shotsAtalanta 13 shots, Genoa 15 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsAtalanta 8 shots, Genoa 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.33 xG0.99 xGAtalanta 1.33 xG, Genoa 0.99 xG
  • Possession57%43%Atalanta 57%, Genoa 43%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersAtalanta 8 corners, Genoa 4 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls9 foulsAtalanta 17 fouls, Genoa 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 2′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGiorgio Scalvini · Atalanta · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRidgeciano Haps · Genoa · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRadu Drăguşin · Genoa · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarten de Roon · Atalanta · 29′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 61′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 29′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGiorgio Scalvini · Atalanta · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRadu Drăguşin · Genoa · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 5′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 15′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRidgeciano Haps · Genoa · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 64′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 38′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 8′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Pușcaș · Genoa · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 37′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMattia Bani · Genoa · 66′ · 0.16 xG · on targetGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 47′ · 0.17 xG · on targetGeorge Pușcaș · Genoa · 90′ · 0.20 xG · on targetAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 68′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atalanta: 11 shots, 6 on target, 0.88 xG. Genoa: 15 shots, 4 on target, 0.98 xG. · 2 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 0.88 xG · Genoa 0.98 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atalanta
2Draws
0Genoa
Atalanta — Genoa · Serie A0–0
Genoa — Atalanta · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Genoa in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta9 matchesGenoa9 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91.11 goals/match
0.89 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.56 goals/match
1.27 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/90.66 xG/match
13.4 shots/match ▲Shots9/97.78 shots/match
5.11 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/92.67 shots/match
51.8% ●Possession9/936.8%
5.78 corners/match ●Corners9/92 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls9/911 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Oct 2023, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtalantaGenoa
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headAtalanta — Genoa
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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