UEFA Champions League · 2024Wed, 29 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

FC Bayern München

LWWWL

3–1Full-time recap

ŠK Slovan Bratislava

LLLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	FC Bayern München	ŠK Slovan Bratislava
Shots	35 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	3.74 xG/match▲	1.07 xG/match
Possession	75%●	25%
Corners	9 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

FC Bayern München: 35 shots, 9 on target, 3.76 xG. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Bayern München 3.76 xG · ŠK Slovan Bratislava 0.97 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: ŠK Slovan Bratislava's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

ŠK Slovan Bratislava's recent record differs from the season

weak

ŠK Slovan Bratislava's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.56 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1.56 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

FC Bayern München favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · ŠK Slovan Bratislava in 1 · 2 too close

2.5 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 8/161.56 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 8/162.13 goals/match

2.81 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 8/80.88 xG/match

1.03 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 8/82.69 xG/match

23.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 8/108.8 shots/match

7.75 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 8/1019.7 shots/match

8.63 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 8/103.5 shots/match

3 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 8/107.7 shots/match

68.9%●Possessionseason · 8/1039%

8.63 corners/match●Cornersseason · 8/104.1 corners/match

2 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 8/1010 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

9.75 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/108.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/1619%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/16▲81%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FC Bayern München98.7

ŠK Slovan Bratislava9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FC Bayern München96.4

ŠK Slovan Bratislava21.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 75%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FC Bayern München78.9

ŠK Slovan Bratislava4.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 75%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FC Bayern München98.7

ŠK Slovan Bratislava19.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FC Bayern München17.9

ŠK Slovan Bratislava3.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 31%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FC Bayern München98.7

ŠK Slovan Bratislava29.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FC Bayern München78.5

ŠK Slovan Bratislava14.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

FC Bayern München8 matchesŠK Slovan Bratislava16 matches

2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored8/161.56 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/162.13 goals/match

2.81 xG/match▲Expected goals8/80.88 xG/match

23.1 shots/match▲Shots8/108.8 shots/match

8.63 shots/match▲Shots on target8/103.5 shots/match

68.9%●Possession8/1039%

8.63 corners/match●Corners8/104.1 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.75 fouls/matchFouls8/108.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

FC Bayern München4 matchesŠK Slovan Bratislava8 matches

3.5 goals/match▲Goals scored4/80.88 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/82 goals/match

3.46 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.76 xG/match

26.5 shots/match▲Shots4/57.8 shots/match

11.3 shots/match▲Shots on target4/53 shots/match

69%●Possession4/536.2%

8.75 corners/match●Corners4/53.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10 fouls/matchFouls4/59.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples8 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 30 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4