PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

Girona FC 1–2 Arsenal · UEFA Champions League

1–2Historical match

Arsenal

WLWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Arsenal won 1–2.

Shots
716
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.772.12
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Arsenal beat Girona FC 2–1. Recorded in this match (Girona FC – Arsenal): shots 7–16, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.77–2.12, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Girona FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Girona FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.63 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Girona FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Girona FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.88 shots/match ▲ShotsGirona FC · Arsenal13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGirona FCArsenalBaseline
Shots9.88 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match9 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Girona FC have a visible home split

weak

Girona FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.88 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match9.88 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots16 shotsGirona FC 7 shots, Arsenal 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsGirona FC 3 shots, Arsenal 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.77 xG2.12 xGGirona FC 0.77 xG, Arsenal 2.12 xG
  • Possession39%61%Girona FC 39%, Arsenal 61%
  • Corners3 corners13 cornersGirona FC 3 corners, Arsenal 13 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls13 foulsGirona FC 13 fouls, Arsenal 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Iván Martín · Girona FC · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedArnau Martínez · Girona FC · 64′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRaheem Sterling · Arsenal · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKai Havertz · Arsenal · 83′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMikel Merino · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEthan Nwaneri · Arsenal · 42′ · 0.03 xG · goalLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Calafiori · Arsenal · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRaheem Sterling · Arsenal · 73′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArnau Martínez · Girona FC · 88′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEthan Nwaneri · Arsenal · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Girona FC · 35′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Girona FC · 10′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEthan Nwaneri · Arsenal · 56′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMikel Merino · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOriol Romeu · Girona FC · 41′ · 0.14 xG · on targetArnaut Danjuma · Girona FC · 28′ · 0.40 xG · goalJorginho · Arsenal · 38′ · 0.82 xG · goalRaheem Sterling · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Girona FC: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.73 xG. Arsenal: 16 shots, 6 on target, 2.16 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Arnaut Danjuma · Girona FC · 28′Jorginho · Arsenal · 38′Ethan Nwaneri · Arsenal · 42′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Girona FC 0.73 xG · Arsenal 2.16 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Girona FC favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Arsenal in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Girona FC8 matchesArsenal8 matches
0.63 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 2 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.38 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.99 xG/match
9.88 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 13.4 shots/match
3.88 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 5.38 shots/match
51%Possession8/8● 53.4%
5.38 corners/matchCorners8/8● 6.38 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls8/811 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 30 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGirona FCArsenal
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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