PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Girona FC · La Liga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rayo Vallecano won 2–1.

Shots
1712
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
2.410.99
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rayo Vallecano beat Girona FC 2–1. Recorded in this match (Rayo Vallecano – Girona FC): shots 17–12, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 2.41–0.99, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rayo Vallecano have a visible home split

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

weak

Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.19 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Girona FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.7%PossessionRayo Vallecano · Girona FC● 58.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoGirona FCBaseline
Possession48.7%58.3%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots12 shotsRayo Vallecano 17 shots, Girona FC 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsRayo Vallecano 7 shots, Girona FC 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.41 xG0.99 xGRayo Vallecano 2.41 xG, Girona FC 0.99 xG
  • Possession57%43%Rayo Vallecano 57%, Girona FC 43%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerRayo Vallecano 4 corners, Girona FC 1 corner
  • Fouls19 fouls9 foulsRayo Vallecano 19 fouls, Girona FC 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Yáser Asprilla · Girona FC · 33′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSergio Camello · Rayo Vallecano · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Embarba · Rayo Vallecano · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Gil · Girona FC · 25′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSergio Camello · Rayo Vallecano · 39′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDavid López · Girona FC · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBryan Gil · Girona FC · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Embarba · Rayo Vallecano · 26′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSergio Camello · Rayo Vallecano · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJuanpe · Girona FC · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedUnai López · Rayo Vallecano · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBryan Gil · Girona FC · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArnau Martínez · Girona FC · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 68′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 81′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedArnau Martínez · Girona FC · 47′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDavid López · Girona FC · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetCristhian Stuani · Girona FC · 90′ · 0.13 xG · on targetJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 72′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 4′ · 0.20 xG · on targetBryan Gil · Girona FC · 58′ · 0.20 xG · goalRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 82′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedIván Martín · Girona FC · 53′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 83′ · 0.27 xG · goalJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 69′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 80′ · 0.79 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rayo Vallecano: 17 shots, 7 on target, 2.39 xG. Girona FC: 12 shots, 5 on target, 0.98 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Randy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 80′Randy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 83′Bryan Gil · Girona FC · 58′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rayo Vallecano 2.39 xG · Girona FC 0.98 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Rayo Vallecano
3Draws
2Girona FC
Girona FC — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–0
Girona FC — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga3–0
Rayo Vallecano — Girona FC · La Liga1–2
Rayo Vallecano — Girona FC · La Liga2–2
Girona FC — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rayo Vallecano favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Girona FC in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano21 matchesGirona FC21 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.38 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.26 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots21/2110.6 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target21/213.81 shots/match
48.7%Possession21/21● 58.3%
5 corners/match ●Corners21/214.86 corners/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls21/2111 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jan 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRayo VallecanoGirona FC
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headRayo Vallecano — Girona FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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