PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

Manchester City 3–1 Club Brugge KV · UEFA Champions League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester City won 3–1.

Shots
1712
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.981.17
Possession
74%26%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City beat Club Brugge KV 3–1. Recorded in this match (Manchester City – Club Brugge KV): shots 17–12, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.98–1.17, possession 74%–26%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

66.6% ●PossessionManchester City · Club Brugge KV41.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 24.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityClub Brugge KVBaseline
Possession66.6%41.8%51%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Manchester City's recent record differs from the season

weak

Manchester City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match2.25 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Club Brugge KV show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Club Brugge KV's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

18.5 shots/match ▲ShotsManchester City · Club Brugge KV11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityClub Brugge KVBaseline
Shots18.5 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match10.6 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots12 shotsManchester City 17 shots, Club Brugge KV 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsManchester City 6 shots, Club Brugge KV 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.98 xG1.17 xGManchester City 1.98 xG, Club Brugge KV 1.17 xG
  • Possession74%26%Manchester City 74%, Club Brugge KV 26%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerManchester City 5 corners, Club Brugge KV 1 corner
  • Fouls2 fouls3 foulsManchester City 2 fouls, Club Brugge KV 3 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Manchester City
0Draws
0Club Brugge KV
Manchester City — Club Brugge KV · UEFA Champions League4–1
Club Brugge KV — Manchester City · UEFA Champions League1–5

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester City favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Club Brugge KV in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester City8 matchesClub Brugge KV8 matches
2.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.88 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.38 goals/match
2.31 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/80.98 xG/match
18.5 shots/match ▲Shots8/811.3 shots/match
7.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/84.13 shots/match
66.6% ●Possession8/841.8%
8 corners/match ●Corners8/83.38 corners/match
7.63 fouls/matchFouls8/89.25 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 30 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsManchester CityClub Brugge KV
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
Head-to-headManchester City — Club Brugge KV
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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