PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

Liverpool 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain · UEFA Champions League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 0–1.

Shots
1921
Shots on target
38
Expected goals
1.642.56
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat Liverpool 1–0. Recorded in this match (Liverpool – Paris Saint-Germain): shots 19–21, shots on target 3–8, expected goals 1.64–2.56, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris Saint-Germain's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match2.08 goals/match1.6 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris Saint-Germain have a visible away split

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season19.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match19.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Paris Saint-Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLiverpool · Paris Saint-Germain19.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match19.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match9.25 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots21 shotsLiverpool 19 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 21 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots8 shotsLiverpool 3 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.64 xG2.56 xGLiverpool 1.64 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 2.56 xG
  • Possession46%54%Liverpool 46%, Paris Saint-Germain 54%
  • Corners12 corners6 cornersLiverpool 12 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls6 foulsLiverpool 14 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Vitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 4′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Konaté · Liverpool · 16′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNuno Mendes · Paris Saint-Germain · 120′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 39′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 94′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 113′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 115′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJarell Quansah · Liverpool · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 108′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 118′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 118′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 97′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 109′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 57′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJarell Quansah · Liverpool · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 94′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 108′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 34′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 58′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 62′ · 0.09 xG · on targetLucas Beraldo · Paris Saint-Germain · 92′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 6′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 18′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 35′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedVirgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 10′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 4′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 4′ · 0.25 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 17′ · 0.59 xG · on targetVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 121′ · 0.82 xG · goalMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 122′ · 0.82 xG · goalDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 123′ · 0.82 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 123′ · 0.82 xG · goalOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 124′ · 0.82 xG · goalCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 125′ · 0.82 xG · on targetDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 126′ · 0.82 xG · goalOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 12′ · 0.99 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Liverpool: 22 shots, 6 on target, 3.97 xG. Paris Saint-Germain: 25 shots, 12 on target, 5.93 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0360′HT90′130′Mohamed Salah · Liverpool · 122′Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 12′Vitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 121′Gonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 123′Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 124′Désiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 126′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 3.97 xG · Paris Saint-Germain 5.93 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Liverpool
0Draws
0Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — Liverpool · UEFA Champions League0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Liverpool favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Liverpool10 matchesParis Saint-Germain12 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/12▲ 2.08 goals/match
0.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/120.83 goals/match
2.07 xG/matchExpected goals10/12▲ 2.24 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots10/12▲ 19.4 shots/match
6.1 shots/matchShots on target10/12▲ 7 shots/match
51%Possession10/12● 62.4%
5.3 corners/matchCorners10/12● 7 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls10/128.67 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 12 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLiverpoolParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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