PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–2 FC Bayern München · UEFA Champions League

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 0–2.

Shots
1712
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.452.1
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0. Recorded in this match (Bayer 04 Leverkusen – FC Bayern München): shots 17–12, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.45–2.1, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.6 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have a visible home split

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

21 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots21 shots/match15.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsBayer 04 Leverkusen · FC Bayern München20.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 LeverkusenFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match20.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match8 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots12 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 17 shots, FC Bayern München 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 3 shots, FC Bayern München 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.45 xG2.1 xGBayer 04 Leverkusen 1.45 xG, FC Bayern München 2.1 xG
  • Possession53%47%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 53%, FC Bayern München 47%
  • Corners14 corners6 cornersBayer 04 Leverkusen 14 corners, FC Bayern München 6 corners
  • Fouls24 fouls13 foulsBayer 04 Leverkusen 24 fouls, FC Bayern München 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Michael Olise · FC Bayern München · 16′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAleix García · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 65′ · 0.03 xG · on targetVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArthur · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedExequiel Palacios · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 15′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 81′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGranit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 25′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 74′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 86′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 37′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 77′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedExequiel Palacios · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 12′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 75′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 44′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 66′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 87′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 5′ · 0.25 xG · on targetPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 67′ · 0.28 xG · on targetAlphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 71′ · 0.43 xG · goalHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 52′ · 0.92 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 17 shots, 3 on target, 1.43 xG. FC Bayern München: 12 shots, 5 on target, 2.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 52′Alphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.43 xG · FC Bayern München 2.29 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3Draws
1FC Bayern München
FC Bayern München — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · UEFA Champions League3–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–0
FC Bayern München — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga3–0
FC Bayern München — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen10 matchesFC Bayern München12 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/12▲ 2.33 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/121.17 goals/match
1.54 xG/matchExpected goals10/12▲ 2.55 xG/match
15.2 shots/matchShots10/12▲ 20.6 shots/match
5.7 shots/matchShots on target10/12▲ 7.92 shots/match
56.3%Possession10/12● 65.6%
5.4 corners/matchCorners10/12● 7.83 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls10/129.17 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 12 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBayer 04 LeverkusenFC Bayern München
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
Head-to-headBayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Bayern München
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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