PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

RC Lens 0–2 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1

RC Lens

WWDWL
0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 0–2.

Shots
1715
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
2.181.83
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat RC Lens 2–0. Recorded in this match (RC Lens – Paris Saint-Germain): shots 17–15, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 2.18–1.83, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Lens's recent record differs from the season

weak

RC Lens's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RC Lens have a visible home split

moderate

RC Lens's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.4%PossessionRC Lens · Paris Saint-Germain● 65.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRC LensParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Possession52.4%65.8%51.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots15 shotsRC Lens 17 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsRC Lens 5 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.18 xG1.83 xGRC Lens 2.18 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 1.83 xG
  • Possession34%66%RC Lens 34%, Paris Saint-Germain 66%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersRC Lens 5 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls8 foulsRC Lens 10 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Faitout Maouassa · RC Lens · 8′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPrzemysław Frankowski · RC Lens · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · RC Lens · 22′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 42′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPrzemysław Frankowski · RC Lens · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFaitout Maouassa · RC Lens · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAyanda Sishuba · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 5′ · 0.05 xG · on targetVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNeil El Aynaoui · RC Lens · 55′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAngelo Fulgini · RC Lens · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKevin Danso · RC Lens · 22′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Soler · Paris Saint-Germain · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · RC Lens · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 60′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 83′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAyanda Sishuba · RC Lens · 88′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 45′ · 0.10 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 84′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAyanda Sishuba · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDanilo Pereira · Paris Saint-Germain · 57′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Soler · Paris Saint-Germain · 40′ · 0.13 xG · on targetFacundo Medina · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · RC Lens · 61′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 89′ · 0.28 xG · goalFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 72′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 30′ · 0.36 xG · goalAyanda Sishuba · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.43 xG · off target or blockedPrzemysław Frankowski · RC Lens · 7′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Lens: 17 shots, 5 on target, 2.21 xG. Paris Saint-Germain: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.81 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Bradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 30′Kylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Lens 2.21 xG · Paris Saint-Germain 1.81 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1RC Lens
2Draws
2Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — RC Lens · Ligue 13–1
Paris Saint-Germain — RC Lens · Ligue 13–1
RC Lens — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 13–1
Paris Saint-Germain — RC Lens · Ligue 11–1
RC Lens — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Lens favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Lens18 matchesParis Saint-Germain18 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 2.44 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 0.78 goals/match
1.49 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 2.11 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 15.5 shots/match
5.06 shots/matchShots on target18/17▲ 6.41 shots/match
52.4%Possession18/18● 65.8%
5.33 corners/match ●Corners18/185.28 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls18/189.94 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Jan 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC LensParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headRC Lens — Paris Saint-Germain
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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