PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Paris Saint-Germain 2–2 Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain and Stade Brestois drew 2–2.

Shots
109
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
2.080.71
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain and Stade Brestois drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Paris Saint-Germain – Stade Brestois): shots 10–9, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 2.08–0.71, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Brestois's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Stade Brestois's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.53 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stade Brestois have a visible away split

moderate

Stade Brestois's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

65.2% ●PossessionParis Saint-Germain · Stade Brestois53.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainStade BrestoisBaseline
Possession65.2%53.3%51.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots9 shotsParis Saint-Germain 10 shots, Stade Brestois 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsParis Saint-Germain 4 shots, Stade Brestois 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.08 xG0.71 xGParis Saint-Germain 2.08 xG, Stade Brestois 0.71 xG
  • Possession54%46%Paris Saint-Germain 54%, Stade Brestois 46%
  • Corners7 corners0 cornersParis Saint-Germain 7 corners, Stade Brestois 0 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsParis Saint-Germain 12 fouls, Stade Brestois 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKenny Lala · Stade Brestois · 74′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPierre Lees Melou · Stade Brestois · 51′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois · 53′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJérémy Le Douaron · Stade Brestois · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois · 28′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois · 55′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 67′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 59′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 9′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 55′ · 0.13 xG · goalKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 87′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 4′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 44′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedMarco Asensio · Paris Saint-Germain · 45′ · 0.27 xG · on targetMathias Pereira Lage · Stade Brestois · 80′ · 0.28 xG · goalMarco Asensio · Paris Saint-Germain · 38′ · 0.40 xG · goalRandal Kolo Muani · Paris Saint-Germain · 45′ · 0.68 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris Saint-Germain: 10 shots, 4 on target, 2.25 xG. Stade Brestois: 9 shots, 6 on target, 0.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Marco Asensio · Paris Saint-Germain · 38′Randal Kolo Muani · Paris Saint-Germain · 45′Mahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 55′Mathias Pereira Lage · Stade Brestois · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint-Germain 2.25 xG · Stade Brestois 0.73 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Paris Saint-Germain
0Draws
0Stade Brestois
Stade Brestois — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 12–3
Stade Brestois — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–2
Paris Saint-Germain — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–0
Paris Saint-Germain — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–0
Stade Brestois — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 12–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain19 matchesStade Brestois19 matches
2.42 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.53 goals/match
0.84 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/190.89 goals/match
2.11 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.49 xG/match
15.2 shots/match ▲Shots19/1914.3 shots/match
6.28 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/195.21 shots/match
65.2% ●Possession19/1953.3%
5.37 corners/match ●Corners19/194.68 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Jan 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis Saint-GermainStade Brestois
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headParis Saint-Germain — Stade Brestois
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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