PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

RC Strasbourg 1–2 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 1–2.

Shots
209
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
2.792.02
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat RC Strasbourg 2–1. Recorded in this match (RC Strasbourg – Paris Saint-Germain): shots 20–9, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 2.79–2.02, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Strasbourg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RC Strasbourg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.05 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.05 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.5%PossessionRC Strasbourg · Paris Saint-Germain● 65.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRC StrasbourgParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Possession41.5%65.1%51.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

RC Strasbourg have a visible home split

moderate

RC Strasbourg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots9 shotsRC Strasbourg 20 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 9 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsRC Strasbourg 8 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.79 xG2.02 xGRC Strasbourg 2.79 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 2.02 xG
  • Possession37%63%RC Strasbourg 37%, Paris Saint-Germain 63%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersRC Strasbourg 3 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsRC Strasbourg 12 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lucas Perrin · RC Strasbourg · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 21′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarco Asensio · Paris Saint-Germain · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoïse Sahi Dion · RC Strasbourg · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrédéric Guilbert · RC Strasbourg · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHabib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 69′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIbrahima Sissoko · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarco Asensio · Paris Saint-Germain · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLucas Hernández · Paris Saint-Germain · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFrédéric Guilbert · RC Strasbourg · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Sissoko · RC Strasbourg · 1′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJunior Mwanga · RC Strasbourg · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJunior Mwanga · RC Strasbourg · 25′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHabib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 69′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAbakar Sylla · RC Strasbourg · 2′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 79′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHabib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 26′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRandal Kolo Muani · Paris Saint-Germain · 39′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedHabib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 42′ · 0.10 xG · on targetEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 69′ · 0.15 xG · on targetMarco Asensio · Paris Saint-Germain · 49′ · 0.31 xG · goalAbakar Sylla · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.33 xG · on targetDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 68′ · 0.38 xG · goalIbrahima Sissoko · RC Strasbourg · 88′ · 0.38 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 31′ · 0.68 xG · goalMoïse Sahi Dion · RC Strasbourg · 1′ · 0.79 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 6′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Strasbourg: 20 shots, 8 on target, 2.82 xG. Paris Saint-Germain: 9 shots, 5 on target, 2.05 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Dilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 68′Kylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 31′Marco Asensio · Paris Saint-Germain · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Strasbourg 2.82 xG · Paris Saint-Germain 2.05 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0RC Strasbourg
2Draws
3Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 13–0
RC Strasbourg — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–1
Paris Saint-Germain — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–1
RC Strasbourg — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 13–3
Paris Saint-Germain — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 14–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Strasbourg favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Strasbourg20 matchesParis Saint-Germain20 matches
1.05 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 2.4 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 0.85 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 2.1 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 14.9 shots/match
3.55 shots/matchShots on target20/19▲ 6.21 shots/match
41.5%Possession20/20● 65.1%
3.2 corners/matchCorners20/20● 5.3 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls20/2010.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Feb 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC StrasbourgParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headRC Strasbourg — Paris Saint-Germain
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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