Ligue 1 · 2023Sun, 14 Jan 2024, 16:05 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Le Havre

DLLWL

3–1Full-time recap

Olympique Lyonnais

LLWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Le Havre	Olympique Lyonnais
Shots	14 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.18 xG/match▲	0.77 xG/match
Possession	42%	58%●
Corners	3 corners/match	7 corners/match●
Fouls	15 fouls/match	4 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Le Havre: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.17 xG. Olympique Lyonnais: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Le Havre 1.17 xG · Olympique Lyonnais 0.77 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Olympique Lyonnais's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1.06 goals/match	1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Olympique Lyonnais have a visible away split

moderate

Olympique Lyonnais's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10 shots/match	12.3 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Le Havre

1Draws

0Olympique Lyonnais

17 Sept 2023Olympique Lyonnais — Le Havre · Ligue 10–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Le Havre favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Olympique Lyonnais in 6 · 4 too close

1.06 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 18/180.94 goals/match

1.11 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 18/181.67 goals/match

1.1 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 18/18▲1.31 xG/match

1.47 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 18/181.66 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 18/18▲12.3 shots/match

14 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 18/18▲13.2 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 18/18▲4.83 shots/match

4.89 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 18/185 shots/match

43.4%Possessionseason · 18/18●51.2%

3.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 18/18●4.89 corners/match

4.94 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 18/18▲4.39 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/1813.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/1833%

50%Scoring frequencyseason · 18/18▲67%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Le Havre19.4

Olympique Lyonnais50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Le Havre24

Olympique Lyonnais40.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Le Havre43.5

Olympique Lyonnais27.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Le Havre52.8

Olympique Lyonnais30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Le Havre69.4

Olympique Lyonnais86.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Le Havre16.7

Olympique Lyonnais41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Le Havre31.2

Olympique Lyonnais57.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Le Havre18 matchesOlympique Lyonnais18 matches

1.06 goals/match▲Goals scored18/180.94 goals/match

1.11 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.67 goals/match

1.1 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲1.31 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShots18/18▲12.3 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲4.83 shots/match

43.4%Possession18/18●51.2%

3.67 corners/matchCorners18/18●4.89 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.2 fouls/matchFouls18/1813.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Le Havre9 matchesOlympique Lyonnais9 matches

1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.67 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.56 goals/match

1.52 xG/match▲Expected goals9/91 xG/match

13 shots/match▲Shots9/910 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target9/93.78 shots/match

42.8%Possession9/9●50.4%

4 corners/matchCorners9/9●4.44 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14 fouls/matchFouls9/912.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

24.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/124.8 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples18 / 18home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Jan 2024, 20:05 UTC · analysis-v4