Ligue 1 · 2024Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Olympique de Marseille

WDW

2–0Full-time recap

Nice

LDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Olympique de Marseille	Nice
Shots	10 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	0.67 xG/match	2.05 xG/match▲
Possession	56%●	44%
Corners	1 corners/match	2 corners/match●
Fouls	18 fouls/match	4 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Olympique de Marseille: 10 shots, 5 on target, 0.67 xG. Nice: 12 shots, 4 on target, 2.08 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Olympique de Marseille 0.67 xG · Nice 2.08 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Nice's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Olympique de Marseille have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Nice show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Nice's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.5 shots/match▲ShotsOlympique de Marseille · Nice11.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Olympique de Marseille	Nice	Baseline
Shots	12.5 shots/match	11.5 shots/match	12.3 shots/match
Shots against	9.5 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Olympique de Marseille have recorded the higher season possession share.

62%●PossessionOlympique de Marseille · Nice50.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Olympique de Marseille	Nice	Baseline
Possession	62%	50.8%	47.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Olympique de Marseille

1Draws

2Nice

24 Apr 2024Olympique de Marseille — Nice · Ligue 12–2

21 Oct 2023Nice — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–0

5 Feb 2023Olympique de Marseille — Nice · Ligue 11–3

28 Aug 2022Nice — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 10–3

20 Mar 2022Olympique de Marseille — Nice · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Olympique de Marseille favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Nice in 0 · 13 too close

3 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41.5 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.5 goals/match

1.77 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.57 xG/match

1.31 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.26 xG/match

12.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/411.5 shots/match

9.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/413.8 shots/match

6.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/44.5 shots/match

3.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/45.5 shots/match

62%●Possessionseason · 4/450.8%

1.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/4●4.5 corners/match

3.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/43 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/411.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/40%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Olympique de Marseille91.7

Nice69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Olympique de Marseille80.6

Nice42.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Olympique de Marseille74.1

Nice47.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Olympique de Marseille8.3

Nice30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Olympique de Marseille58.3

Nice44.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Olympique de Marseille2.8

Nice44.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Olympique de Marseille52.8

Nice41

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Olympique de Marseille4 matchesNice4 matches

3 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41.5 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match

1.77 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.57 xG/match

12.5 shots/match▲Shots4/411.5 shots/match

6.25 shots/match▲Shots on target4/44.5 shots/match

62%●Possession4/450.8%

1.5 corners/matchCorners4/4●4.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.8 fouls/matchFouls4/411.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Olympique de Marseille2 matchesNice3 matches

—Goals scored2/31.67 goals/match

—Goals allowed2/31.67 goals/match

—Expected goals2/31.67 xG/match

—Shots2/311.7 shots/match

—Shots on target2/35 shots/match

—Possession2/348.3%

—Corners2/34.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/311.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4