Ligue 1 · 2024Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 19:00 UTCFull timeHistorical match

Paris Saint-Germain

WWW

3–1Historical match

Stade Brestois

LLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Paris Saint-Germain	Stade Brestois
Shots	22 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.88 xG/match▲	0.97 xG/match
Possession	67%●	33%
Corners	9 corners/match●	1 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Paris Saint-Germain: 22 shots, 9 on target, 2.90 xG. Stade Brestois: 5 shots, 3 on target, 1.00 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint-Germain 2.90 xG · Stade Brestois 1.00 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Paris Saint-Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.8 shots/match▲ShotsParis Saint-Germain · Stade Brestois12 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Paris Saint-Germain	Stade Brestois	Baseline
Shots	18.8 shots/match	12 shots/match	12.2 shots/match
Shots against	6.5 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

67.5%●PossessionParis Saint-Germain · Stade Brestois44.5%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Paris Saint-Germain	Stade Brestois	Baseline
Possession	67.5%	44.5%	46.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4Paris Saint-Germain

1Draws

0Stade Brestois

28 Jan 2024Paris Saint-Germain — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–2

29 Oct 2023Stade Brestois — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 12–3

11 Mar 2023Stade Brestois — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–2

10 Sept 2022Paris Saint-Germain — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–0

15 Jan 2022Paris Saint-Germain — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Paris Saint-Germain favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 0 · 13 too close

4 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41.5 goals/match

0.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/42.5 goals/match

3.04 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.57 xG/match

0.8 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/42.1 xG/match

18.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/412 shots/match

6.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/413.8 shots/match

9.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/45.25 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/45.75 shots/match

67.5%●Possessionseason · 4/444.5%

7 corners/match●Cornersseason · 4/43.75 corners/match

2 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/44 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/411 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Paris Saint-Germain97.2

Stade Brestois30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Paris Saint-Germain97.2

Stade Brestois54.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Paris Saint-Germain87

Stade Brestois33.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Paris Saint-Germain75

Stade Brestois69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Paris Saint-Germain2.8

Stade Brestois27.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Paris Saint-Germain97.2

Stade Brestois36.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Paris Saint-Germain73.6

Stade Brestois43

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain4 matchesStade Brestois4 matches

4 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41.5 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42.5 goals/match

3.04 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.57 xG/match

18.8 shots/match▲Shots4/412 shots/match

9.25 shots/match▲Shots on target4/45.25 shots/match

67.5%●Possession4/444.5%

7 corners/match●Corners4/43.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9 fouls/matchFouls4/411 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Paris Saint-Germain2 matchesStade Brestois2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.2 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4