Ligue 1 · 2024Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 17:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Auxerre

WLL

0–3Full-time recap

AS Monaco

WWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Auxerre	AS Monaco
Shots	13 shots/match	19 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.56 xG/match	3.49 xG/match▲
Possession	41%	59%●
Corners	1 corners/match	6 corners/match●
Fouls	13 fouls/match	16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Auxerre: 13 shots, 3 on target, 0.56 xG. AS Monaco: 19 shots, 9 on target, 3.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Auxerre 0.56 xG · AS Monaco 3.50 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: AS Monaco's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: AS Monaco have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

AS Monaco show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

AS Monaco's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12 shots/match▲ShotsAuxerre · AS Monaco17.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Auxerre	AS Monaco	Baseline
Shots	12 shots/match	17.8 shots/match	12.2 shots/match
Shots against	14.8 shots/match	9.25 shots/match	13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

AS Monaco have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.5%PossessionAuxerre · AS Monaco●60.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Auxerre	AS Monaco	Baseline
Possession	50.5%	60.8%	46.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Auxerre

0Draws

2AS Monaco

1 Feb 2023AS Monaco — Auxerre · Ligue 13–2

28 Dec 2022Auxerre — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Auxerre favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · AS Monaco in 0 · 13 too close

0.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41.75 goals/match

2.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/40.25 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/42.19 xG/match

2.1 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/40.82 xG/match

12 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/417.8 shots/match

14.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/49.25 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/46 shots/match

6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/42.75 shots/match

50.5%Possessionseason · 4/4●60.8%

4.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/4●6 corners/match

4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/43 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/412.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/475%

50%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Auxerre63.9

AS Monaco80.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Auxerre33.3

AS Monaco83.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Auxerre28.7

AS Monaco91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Auxerre41.7

AS Monaco86.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Auxerre44.4

AS Monaco52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Auxerre50

AS Monaco91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Auxerre42.4

AS Monaco79.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Auxerre4 matchesAS Monaco4 matches

0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1.75 goals/match

2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.25 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲2.19 xG/match

12 shots/matchShots4/4▲17.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲6 shots/match

50.5%Possession4/4●60.8%

4.5 corners/matchCorners4/4●6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls4/412.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Auxerre2 matchesAS Monaco2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.2 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4