Ligue 1 · 2024Fri, 20 Sept 2024, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Nice

LDWL

8–0Full-time recap

Saint-Étienne

LLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Nice	Saint-Étienne
Shots	18 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	12 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	4.73 xG/match▲	0.32 xG/match
Possession	59%●	41%
Corners	3 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Nice's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Saint-Étienne's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Nice show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Nice's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match▲ShotsNice · Saint-Étienne10.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Nice	Saint-Étienne	Baseline
Shots	12.8 shots/match	10.8 shots/match	11.9 shots/match
Shots against	12.6 shots/match	17.6 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Saint-Étienne have a visible away split

weak

Saint-Étienne's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.33 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.33 shots/match	10.8 shots/match	11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Nice have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.4%●PossessionNice · Saint-Étienne44%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Nice	Saint-Étienne	Baseline
Possession	52.4%	44%	47.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Nice

0Draws

0Saint-Étienne

11 May 2022Nice — Saint-Étienne · Ligue 14–2

25 Sept 2021Saint-Étienne — Nice · Ligue 10–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Nice favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Saint-Étienne in 0 · 3 too close

2.8 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 5/50.2 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 5/53 goals/match

2.2 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 5/50.66 xG/match

1.07 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 5/52.69 xG/match

12.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 5/510.8 shots/match

12.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 5/517.6 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 5/53.2 shots/match

4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 5/57.2 shots/match

52.4%●Possessionseason · 5/544%

4.2 corners/match●Cornersseason · 5/52.4 corners/match

2.8 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 5/55.2 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/515.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/520%

80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 5/520%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Nice69.4

Saint-Étienne25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Nice78.7

Saint-Étienne8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Nice52.8

Saint-Étienne6.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Nice47.2

Saint-Étienne52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Nice19.4

Saint-Étienne97.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Nice36.1

Saint-Étienne8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Nice51.4

Saint-Étienne31.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Nice5 matchesSaint-Étienne5 matches

2.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.2 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/53 goals/match

2.2 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.66 xG/match

12.8 shots/match▲Shots5/510.8 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match

52.4%●Possession5/544%

4.2 corners/match●Corners5/52.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/515.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Nice2 matchesSaint-Étienne3 matches

—Goals scored2/30 goals/match

—Goals allowed2/34.33 goals/match

—Expected goals2/30.31 xG/match

—Shots2/38.33 shots/match

—Shots on target2/32 shots/match

—Possession2/344%

—Corners2/32.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/318.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.16 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 20 Sept 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4