PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Lille 3–3 RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

Lille

WWLL
3–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lille and RC Strasbourg drew 3–3.

Shots
1512
Shots on target
79
Expected goals
2.753.23
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lille and RC Strasbourg drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Lille – RC Strasbourg): shots 15–12, shots on target 7–9, expected goals 2.75–3.23, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lille have a visible home split

weak

Lille's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match14.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lille show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLille · RC Strasbourg11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLilleRC StrasbourgBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against8.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lille have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.2% ●PossessionLille · RC Strasbourg51.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLilleRC StrasbourgBaseline
Possession62.2%51.4%47%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots12 shotsLille 15 shots, RC Strasbourg 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots9 shotsLille 7 shots, RC Strasbourg 9 shots
  • Expected goals2.75 xG3.23 xGLille 2.75 xG, RC Strasbourg 3.23 xG
  • Possession64%36%Lille 64%, RC Strasbourg 36%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersLille 9 corners, RC Strasbourg 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsLille 16 fouls, RC Strasbourg 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Aïssa Mandi · Lille · 39′ · 0.01 xG · on targetTiago Santos · Lille · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 41′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGuéla Doué · RC Strasbourg · 56′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRémy Cabella · Lille · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOsame Sahraoui · Lille · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHabib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 47′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 50′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRémy Cabella · Lille · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 12′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 5′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAndrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 56′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 78′ · 0.13 xG · on targetThomas Meunier · Lille · 27′ · 0.20 xG · on targetRémy Cabella · Lille · 37′ · 0.21 xG · on targetEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 15′ · 0.24 xG · goalEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 27′ · 0.43 xG · goalSebastian Nanasi · RC Strasbourg · 30′ · 0.49 xG · on targetEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 42′ · 0.53 xG · goalDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 75′ · 0.58 xG · on targetSebastian Nanasi · RC Strasbourg · 66′ · 0.65 xG · goalBafodé Diakité · Lille · 39′ · 0.71 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 84′ · 0.82 xG · goalAndrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 30′ · 0.91 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lille: 15 shots, 7 on target, 2.92 xG. RC Strasbourg: 12 shots, 9 on target, 3.66 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Edon Zhegrova · Lille · 15′Edon Zhegrova · Lille · 27′Jonathan David · Lille · 84′Andrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 30′Emmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 42′Sebastian Nanasi · RC Strasbourg · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lille 2.92 xG · RC Strasbourg 3.66 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Lille
0Draws
1RC Strasbourg
Lille — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–0
RC Strasbourg — Lille · Ligue 12–1
Lille — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–0
RC Strasbourg — Lille · Ligue 10–3
Lille — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lille favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 4

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lille5 matchesRC Strasbourg5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 2.2 goals/match
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.67 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.97 xG/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots5/511.8 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 6.2 shots/match
62.2% ●Possession5/551.4%
6 corners/match ●Corners5/53.8 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Sept 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLilleRC Strasbourg
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headLille — RC Strasbourg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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