Ligue 1 · 2024Fri, 13 Sept 2024, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Saint-Étienne

LLL

1–0Full-time recap

Lille

WWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Saint-Étienne	Lille
Shots	10 shots/match	17 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1.25 xG/match▲	1.24 xG/match
Possession	29%	71%●
Corners	2 corners/match	7 corners/match●
Fouls	12 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Saint-Étienne: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.25 xG. Lille: 17 shots, 4 on target, 1.23 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Saint-Étienne 1.25 xG · Lille 1.23 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Lille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Lille have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Lille show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match▲ShotsSaint-Étienne · Lille14.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Saint-Étienne	Lille	Baseline
Shots	11.5 shots/match	14.5 shots/match	12.3 shots/match
Shots against	17.5 shots/match	7.25 shots/match	12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Lille have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.8%PossessionSaint-Étienne · Lille●61.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Saint-Étienne	Lille	Baseline
Possession	44.8%	61.8%	47.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Saint-Étienne

2Draws

0Lille

11 Mar 2022Lille — Saint-Étienne · Ligue 10–0

21 Aug 2021Saint-Étienne — Lille · Ligue 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Saint-Étienne favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Lille in 0 · 13 too close

0.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41.25 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41 goals/match

0.75 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.41 xG/match

2.18 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.13 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/414.5 shots/match

17.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/47.25 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/45 shots/match

6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/43.5 shots/match

44.8%Possessionseason · 4/4●61.8%

2.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/4●5.25 corners/match

5.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/41.25 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

16.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/410.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/450%

25%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Saint-Étienne30.6

Lille86.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Saint-Étienne17.6

Lille56.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Saint-Étienne27.8

Lille80.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Saint-Étienne58.3

Lille41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Saint-Étienne97.2

Lille25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Saint-Étienne13.9

Lille52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Saint-Étienne40.3

Lille54.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Saint-Étienne4 matchesLille4 matches

0.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1.25 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲1 goals/match

0.75 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.41 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShots4/4▲14.5 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5 shots/match

44.8%Possession4/4●61.8%

2.5 corners/matchCorners4/4●5.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.5 fouls/matchFouls4/410.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Saint-Étienne2 matchesLille2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/112 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 13 Sept 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4