PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Angers 2–0 Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

Angers

LLWLL
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Angers won 2–0.

Shots
712
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
1.780.98
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Angers beat Stade Brestois 2–0. Recorded in this match (Angers – Stade Brestois): shots 7–12, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 1.78–0.98, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Angers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Angers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Angers show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Angers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.27 shots/match ▲ShotsAngers · Stade Brestois11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAngersStade BrestoisBaseline
Shots9.27 shots/match11.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Stade Brestois have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.9%PossessionAngers · Stade Brestois● 51.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAngersStade BrestoisBaseline
Possession41.9%51.4%48.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots12 shotsAngers 7 shots, Stade Brestois 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsAngers 2 shots, Stade Brestois 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.78 xG0.98 xGAngers 1.78 xG, Stade Brestois 0.98 xG
  • Possession38%62%Angers 38%, Stade Brestois 62%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersAngers 2 corners, Stade Brestois 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsAngers 14 fouls, Stade Brestois 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Abdallah Sima · Stade Brestois · 22′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEdimilson Fernandes · Stade Brestois · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrendan Chardonnet · Stade Brestois · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJim Allevinah · Angers · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMassadio Haïdara · Stade Brestois · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJordan Lefort · Angers · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMassadio Haïdara · Stade Brestois · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Niane · Angers · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEdimilson Fernandes · Stade Brestois · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJim Allevinah · Angers · 48′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAbdallah Sima · Stade Brestois · 39′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 58′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 2′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 45′ · 0.17 xG · on targetAbdoulaye Ndiaye · Stade Brestois · 40′ · 0.24 xG · on targetEsteban Lepaul · Angers · 43′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedEsteban Lepaul · Angers · 6′ · 0.31 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Angers: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.79 xG. Stade Brestois: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.00 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Esteban Lepaul · Angers · 6′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Angers 0.79 xG · Stade Brestois 1.00 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Angers
1Draws
2Stade Brestois
Stade Brestois — Angers · Ligue 14–0
Angers — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–3
Angers — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–0
Stade Brestois — Angers · Ligue 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Angers favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Angers16 matchesStade Brestois16 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.81 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.19 xG/match
9.27 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 11.7 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 4.67 shots/match
41.9%Possession15/15● 51.4%
3.6 corners/matchCorners15/153.6 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls15/1512.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Jan 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAngersStade Brestois
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headAngers — Stade Brestois
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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