Ligue 1 · 2024

Stade Brestois 2–1 Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 1

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Brestois won 2–1.

Shots
1110
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.071.43
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Brestois beat Olympique Lyonnais 2–1. Recorded in this match (Stade Brestois – Olympique Lyonnais): shots 11–10, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.07–1.43, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Brestois's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Stade Brestois's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.53 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots10 shotsStade Brestois 11 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsStade Brestois 6 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.07 xG1.43 xGStade Brestois 1.07 xG, Olympique Lyonnais 1.43 xG
  • Possession33%67%Stade Brestois 33%, Olympique Lyonnais 67%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersStade Brestois 4 corners, Olympique Lyonnais 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsStade Brestois 10 fouls, Olympique Lyonnais 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mama Baldé · Stade Brestois · 73′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMama Baldé · Stade Brestois · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMassadio Haïdara · Stade Brestois · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBrendan Chardonnet · Stade Brestois · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMama Baldé · Stade Brestois · 62′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSaïd Benrahma · Olympique Lyonnais · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTanner Tessmann · Olympique Lyonnais · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolás Tagliafico · Olympique Lyonnais · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCorentin Tolisso · Olympique Lyonnais · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 61′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTanner Tessmann · Olympique Lyonnais · 66′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 8′ · 0.11 xG · goalCorentin Tolisso · Olympique Lyonnais · 17′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDuje Ćaleta-Car · Olympique Lyonnais · 60′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedEdimilson Fernandes · Stade Brestois · 72′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 8′ · 0.14 xG · on targetLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 25′ · 0.24 xG · goalMathias Pereira Lage · Stade Brestois · 78′ · 0.24 xG · on targetAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 28′ · 0.27 xG · on targetJordan Veretout · Olympique Lyonnais · 45′ · 0.30 xG · goalAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 68′ · 0.34 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Brestois: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.05 xG. Olympique Lyonnais: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Mahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 8′Ludovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 25′Jordan Veretout · Olympique Lyonnais · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Brestois 1.05 xG · Olympique Lyonnais 1.45 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Stade Brestois
1Draws
2Olympique Lyonnais
Olympique Lyonnais — Stade Brestois · Ligue 14–3
Stade Brestois — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 11–0
Olympique Lyonnais — Stade Brestois · Ligue 10–0
Stade Brestois — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 12–4
Stade Brestois — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Brestois favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Olympique Lyonnais in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Brestois17 matchesOlympique Lyonnais17 matches
1.53 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.71 goals/match
1.76 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals16/17▲ 1.78 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots16/17▲ 13 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on target16/17▲ 5.41 shots/match
50.3%Possession16/17● 55.2%
3.63 corners/matchCorners16/17● 5.76 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls16/1711.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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