PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

RC Strasbourg 3–1 Auxerre · Ligue 1

3–1Historical match

Auxerre

WWLDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Strasbourg won 3–1.

Shots
1114
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
2.421.38
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Strasbourg beat Auxerre 3–1. Recorded in this match (RC Strasbourg – Auxerre): shots 11–14, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 2.42–1.38, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Auxerre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Auxerre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots14 shotsRC Strasbourg 11 shots, Auxerre 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsRC Strasbourg 4 shots, Auxerre 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.42 xG1.38 xGRC Strasbourg 2.42 xG, Auxerre 1.38 xG
  • Possession60%40%RC Strasbourg 60%, Auxerre 40%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersRC Strasbourg 4 corners, Auxerre 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsRC Strasbourg 10 fouls, Auxerre 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Andrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJubal · Auxerre · 57′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGaëtan Perrin · Auxerre · 65′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKi-Jana Hoever · Auxerre · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPaul Joly · Auxerre · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHamed Junior Traorè · Auxerre · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSékou Mara · RC Strasbourg · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGaëtan Perrin · Auxerre · 12′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 37′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAdo Onaiwu · Auxerre · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKi-Jana Hoever · Auxerre · 19′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGaëtan Perrin · Auxerre · 33′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJubal · Auxerre · 80′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 67′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 61′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJeremy Sebas · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Nanasi · RC Strasbourg · 72′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedHamed Junior Traorè · Auxerre · 14′ · 0.22 xG · goalHamed Junior Traorè · Auxerre · 10′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedTheo Bair · Auxerre · 90′ · 0.35 xG · on targetFélix Lemaréchal · RC Strasbourg · 59′ · 0.51 xG · goalHabib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goalEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 87′ · 0.91 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Strasbourg: 11 shots, 4 on target, 2.90 xG. Auxerre: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Habib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 45′Félix Lemaréchal · RC Strasbourg · 59′Emmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 87′Hamed Junior Traorè · Auxerre · 14′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Strasbourg 2.90 xG · Auxerre 1.39 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1RC Strasbourg
0Draws
1Auxerre
RC Strasbourg — Auxerre · Ligue 12–0
Auxerre — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Strasbourg favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Auxerre in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Strasbourg16 matchesAuxerre16 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161.5 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 1.63 goals/match
1.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/161.31 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots15/16▲ 11.5 shots/match
4.93 shots/matchShots on target15/164.69 shots/match
49% ●Possession15/1642.8%
4 corners/match ●Corners15/163.63 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls15/1612.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Jan 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC StrasbourgAuxerre
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headRC Strasbourg — Auxerre
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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