Ligue 1 · 2024

Toulouse 1–2 RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Strasbourg won 1–2.

Shots
198
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.242.35
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Strasbourg beat Toulouse 2–1. Recorded in this match (Toulouse – RC Strasbourg): shots 19–8, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.24–2.35, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Strasbourg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RC Strasbourg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsToulouse · RC Strasbourg10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricToulouseRC StrasbourgBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match10.3 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against9.53 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

RC Strasbourg's recent record differs from the season

weak

RC Strasbourg's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.75 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.75 shots/match10.3 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots8 shotsToulouse 19 shots, RC Strasbourg 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsToulouse 5 shots, RC Strasbourg 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.24 xG2.35 xGToulouse 1.24 xG, RC Strasbourg 2.35 xG
  • Possession53%47%Toulouse 53%, RC Strasbourg 47%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersToulouse 3 corners, RC Strasbourg 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsToulouse 12 fouls, RC Strasbourg 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Toulouse
2Draws
1RC Strasbourg
Toulouse — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 10–0
RC Strasbourg — Toulouse · Ligue 12–0
RC Strasbourg — Toulouse · Ligue 11–2
Toulouse — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Toulouse favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Toulouse17 matchesRC Strasbourg17 matches
1.12 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.76 goals/match
1.12 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.71 goals/match
1.46 xG/matchExpected goals17/161.52 xG/match
11.6 shots/match ▲Shots17/1610.3 shots/match
4.06 shots/matchShots on target17/16▲ 4.75 shots/match
44.8%Possession17/16● 48.9%
4.35 corners/match ●Corners17/163.88 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls17/1611.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Jan 2025, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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