PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Le Havre 1–2 RC Lens · Ligue 1

1–2Historical match

RC Lens

LWWDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Lens won 1–2.

Shots
825
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
1.992.79
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Lens beat Le Havre 2–1. Recorded in this match (Le Havre – RC Lens): shots 8–25, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 1.99–2.79, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Lens's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RC Lens's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.24 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RC Lens show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RC Lens's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.38 shots/match ▲ShotsLe Havre · RC Lens14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLe HavreRC LensBaseline
Shots9.38 shots/match14.6 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match11 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

RC Lens have recorded the higher season possession share.

41%PossessionLe Havre · RC Lens● 55.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLe HavreRC LensBaseline
Possession41%55.7%48.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots25 shotsLe Havre 8 shots, RC Lens 25 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsLe Havre 4 shots, RC Lens 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.99 xG2.79 xGLe Havre 1.99 xG, RC Lens 2.79 xG
  • Possession30%70%Le Havre 30%, RC Lens 70%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersLe Havre 3 corners, RC Lens 8 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls14 foulsLe Havre 11 fouls, RC Lens 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Anass Zaroury · RC Lens · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGoduine Koyalipou · RC Lens · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPrzemysław Frankowski · RC Lens · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDeiver Machado · RC Lens · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDeiver Machado · RC Lens · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 19′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Fulgini · RC Lens · 12′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAnass Zaroury · RC Lens · 47′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKevin Danso · RC Lens · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPrzemysław Frankowski · RC Lens · 65′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGoduine Koyalipou · RC Lens · 65′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Fulgini · RC Lens · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 17′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYoann Salmier · Le Havre · 62′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAndy Diouf · RC Lens · 3′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndy Diouf · RC Lens · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Joujou · Le Havre · 8′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 63′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 65′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Sabbi · Le Havre · 8′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 13′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Fulgini · RC Lens · 43′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedKevin Danso · RC Lens · 7′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 54′ · 0.17 xG · on targetAngelo Fulgini · RC Lens · 3′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedYoann Salmier · Le Havre · 23′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedYoann Salmier · Le Havre · 79′ · 0.23 xG · on targetDeiver Machado · RC Lens · 77′ · 0.27 xG · goalGoduine Koyalipou · RC Lens · 28′ · 0.29 xG · goalRassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 8′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 47′ · 0.64 xG · on targetAndré Ayew · Le Havre · 8′ · 1.00 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Le Havre: 8 shots, 4 on target, 2.04 xG. RC Lens: 25 shots, 7 on target, 2.81 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′André Ayew · Le Havre · 8′Goduine Koyalipou · RC Lens · 28′Deiver Machado · RC Lens · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Le Havre 2.04 xG · RC Lens 2.81 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Le Havre
2Draws
0RC Lens
RC Lens — Le Havre · Ligue 11–1
Le Havre — RC Lens · Ligue 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Le Havre favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · RC Lens in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Le Havre17 matchesRC Lens17 matches
0.76 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.24 goals/match
2.12 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 0.94 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals16/17▲ 1.69 xG/match
9.38 shots/matchShots16/17▲ 14.6 shots/match
2.88 shots/matchShots on target16/17▲ 4.65 shots/match
41%Possession16/17● 55.7%
3.56 corners/matchCorners16/17● 5.71 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls16/1715.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Jan 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLe HavreRC Lens
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headLe Havre — RC Lens
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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