PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Olympique de Marseille 5–1 Le Havre · Ligue 1

5–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique de Marseille won 5–1.

Shots
154
Shots on target
91
Expected goals
3.230.45
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Olympique de Marseille beat Le Havre 5–1. Recorded in this match (Olympique de Marseille – Le Havre): shots 15–4, shots on target 9–1, expected goals 3.23–0.45, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Olympique de Marseille have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.7% ●PossessionOlympique de Marseille · Le Havre41.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOlympique de MarseilleLe HavreBaseline
Possession60.7%41.7%48.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Le Havre show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Le Havre's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsOlympique de Marseille · Le Havre9.47 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOlympique de MarseilleLe HavreBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match9.47 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match14.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots4 shotsOlympique de Marseille 15 shots, Le Havre 4 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots1 shotOlympique de Marseille 9 shots, Le Havre 1 shot
  • Expected goals3.23 xG0.45 xGOlympique de Marseille 3.23 xG, Le Havre 0.45 xG
  • Possession70%30%Olympique de Marseille 70%, Le Havre 30%
  • Corners4 corners0 cornersOlympique de Marseille 4 corners, Le Havre 0 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls6 foulsOlympique de Marseille 12 fouls, Le Havre 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Adrien Rabiot · Olympique de Marseille · 14′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Rabiot · Olympique de Marseille · 16′ · 0.01 xG · on targetYanis Zouaoui · Le Havre · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIlyes Housni · Le Havre · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedValentin Rongier · Olympique de Marseille · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmir Murillo · Olympique de Marseille · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedValentin Rongier · Olympique de Marseille · 25′ · 0.04 xG · goalMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 68′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIsmael Koné · Olympique de Marseille · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 63′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBilal Nadir · Olympique de Marseille · 39′ · 0.10 xG · goalElysée Logbo · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedAndré Ayew · Le Havre · 85′ · 0.21 xG · goalNeal Maupay · Olympique de Marseille · 55′ · 0.22 xG · on targetNeal Maupay · Olympique de Marseille · 43′ · 0.30 xG · goalNeal Maupay · Olympique de Marseille · 48′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · Olympique de Marseille · 66′ · 0.79 xG · goalUlisses Garcia · Olympique de Marseille · 75′ · 0.94 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Olympique de Marseille: 15 shots, 9 on target, 3.14 xG. Le Havre: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Valentin Rongier · Olympique de Marseille · 25′Bilal Nadir · Olympique de Marseille · 39′Neal Maupay · Olympique de Marseille · 43′Elye Wahi · Olympique de Marseille · 66′Ulisses Garcia · Olympique de Marseille · 75′André Ayew · Le Havre · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Olympique de Marseille 3.14 xG · Le Havre 0.44 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Olympique de Marseille
0Draws
0Le Havre
Le Havre — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–2
Olympique de Marseille — Le Havre · Ligue 13–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique de Marseille favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Le Havre in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique de Marseille16 matchesLe Havre16 matches
2.31 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/160.75 goals/match
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/162.13 goals/match
1.67 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/151.04 xG/match
12.7 shots/match ▲Shots16/159.47 shots/match
5.44 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/152.8 shots/match
60.7% ●Possession16/1541.7%
3.44 corners/matchCorners16/15● 3.6 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls16/1511 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Jan 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique de MarseilleLe Havre
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headOlympique de Marseille — Le Havre
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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